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AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Sturm Graz
FT
1 - 1
Red Bull Salzburg
Merkur-Arena
Referee: S. Ebner
Sturm Graz
Match Timeline
Red Bull Salzburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
43'
Edmund Baidoo
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
44'
Petar Ratkov
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
46'
L. Grgic · Assist: O. Kiteishvili
Sturm Graz
🔄
61'
M. Malone ↔ A. Kayombo
Sturm Graz
🔄
62'
C. Bischoff ↔ Y. Vertessen
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
62'
S. Kitano ↔ M. K. Yeo
Red Bull Salzburg
⚽
65'
Y. Vertessen · Assist: M. K. Yeo
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
66'
Stefan Lainer
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
72'
S. Lainer ↔ T. Trummer
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
75'
T. Chukwuani ↔ F. Rozga
Sturm Graz
🔄
75'
L. Grgic ↔ S. Jatta
Sturm Graz
🟨
81'
Soumaïla Diabaté
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
82'
A. Malic ↔ J. Mitchell
Sturm Graz
🔄
82'
O. Kiteishvili ↔ J. Hodl
Sturm Graz
🔄
83'
M. Kjaergaard ↔ M. Bidstrup
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
83'
E. Baidoo ↔ E. Aguilar
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
90+4'
Jeyland Mitchell
Sturm Graz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sturm Graz Win 0%
Draw 0%
Red Bull Salzburg Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sturm Graz1.46
Red Bull Salzburg1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
WWDLW
32 GF / 24 GA
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WLDWL
49 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.13
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
9
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
17
4.82
Shots on Goal
5.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 20 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 23 matches
Sturm Graz Statistic Red Bull Salzburg
11 Wins 12
2 Draws 4
7 Losses 7
32 Goals For 49
24 Goals Against 29
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.13
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
9 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
4.82 Shots On Goal 5.85
14.35 Total Shots 16.05
4.53 Corners 4.25
51.5% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sturm Graz won 5 times, Red Bull Salzburg won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:22 from Sturm Graz's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sturm Graz 4-3-1-2 / Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sturm Graz wins 5, draws 6, Red Bull Salzburg wins 4
Stats
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 3
12 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 8
11 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
353 Total passes 434
256 Passes accurate 324
1.31 expected_goals 0.73
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sturm Graz
Formation
Red Bull Salzburg
O. Christensen
O. Christensen
A. Malic
↓
A. Malic
T. Oermann
T. Oermann
D. Lavalee
D. Lavalee
E. Karic
E. Karic
T. Horvat
T. Horvat
J. Gorenc Stankovic
J. Gorenc Stankovic
T. Chukwuani
↓
T. Chukwuani
O. Kiteishvili
🎯 ↓
O. Kiteishvili
M. Malone
↓
M. Malone
L. Grgic
⚽ ↓
L. Grgic
A. Schlager
A. Schlager
S. Lainer
↓
S. Lainer
J. Schuster
J. Schuster
J. Rasmussen
J. Rasmussen
A. Terzic
A. Terzic
S. Diabate
S. Diabate
M. Kjaergaard
↓
M. Kjaergaard
E. Baidoo
↓
E. Baidoo
S. Kitano
↓
S. Kitano
C. Bischoff
↓
C. Bischoff
P. Ratkov
P. Ratkov
Sturm Graz 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
1
O. Christensen
G
23
A. Malic
↓ 82'
D
5
T. Oermann
D
24
D. Lavalee
D
17
E. Karic
D
19
T. Horvat
M
4
J. Gorenc Stankovic
M
21
T. Chukwuani
↓ 75'
M
10
O. Kiteishvili
🎯 46' ↓ 82'
M
77
M. Malone
↓ 61'
F
38
L. Grgic
⚽ 46' ↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
40
M. Bignetti
G
2
J. Mitchell
↑ 82' 🟨 90+4'
D
8
F. Rozga
↑ 75'
11
A. Kayombo
↑ 61'
F
20
S. Jatta
↑ 75'
F
25
S. Hierlander
M
35
N. Geyrhofer
D
43
J. Hodl
↑ 82'
M
47
E. Aiwu
D
Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Schlager
G
22
S. Lainer
↓ 72' 🟨 66'
D
44
J. Schuster
D
2
J. Rasmussen
D
3
A. Terzic
D
5
S. Diabate
🟨 81'
M
14
M. Kjaergaard
↓ 83'
M
20
E. Baidoo
↓ 83'
M
8
S. Kitano
↓ 62'
M
7
C. Bischoff
↓ 62'
M
21
P. Ratkov
🟨 44'
F
Substitutes
52
C. Zawieschitzky
G
11
Y. Vertessen
⚽ 65' ↑ 62'
F
13
F. Kratzig
D
18
M. Bidstrup
↑ 83'
M
23
J. Gadou
D
27
K. Alajbegovic
F
37
T. Trummer
↑ 72'
M
43
E. Aguilar
↑ 83'
F
49
M. K. Yeo
🎯 65' ↑ 62'
M
Last matches: Sturm Graz
15.08.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
1
0
W
11.08.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe
0
1
L
08.08.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
2
0
W
05.08.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe
0
2
L
01.08.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
28.07.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
2
0
W
24.07.26
Cup
Sturm Graz
Seekirchen
3
0
W
21.07.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Kalsdorf
4
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
FK Košice
2
2
D
30.06.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
LNZ Cherkasy
2
6
L
26.06.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Mura
5
0
W
17.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
2
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
4
2
W
03.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
26.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
1
1
D
22.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
1
1
D
19.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
1
1
D
Last matches: Red Bull Salzburg
13.08.26
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Pafos
3
3
D
09.08.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
1
1
D
06.08.26
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Pafos
1
0
W
01.08.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
0
W
25.07.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
Oberwart
7
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Energie Cottbus
5
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Başakşehir
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gamba Osaka
0
3
L
09.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
FC Kharkiv
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze
2
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Seekirchen
5
0
W
17.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
1
3
L
10.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
1
2
L
03.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
26.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
22.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
19.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
10.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
2
3
L
05.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
W
26.03.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
0
W
H2H: Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg
03.05.26
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
20.03.26
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
09.11.25
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
0
2
W
09.05.25
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
4
2
W
13.04.25
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
2
W
02.03.25
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
3
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
5
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
2
2
D
04.04.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
3
4
W
31.03.24
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
09.02.24
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
16.09.23
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
2
D
21.05.23
H2H
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
2
1
L
23.04.23
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
L
Last matches: Sturm Graz
15.08.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
1
0
W
11.08.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe
0
1
L
21.07.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Kalsdorf
4
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
FK Košice
2
2
D
30.06.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
LNZ Cherkasy
2
6
L
26.06.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
Mura
5
0
W
17.05.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
2
0
W
26.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
1
1
D
22.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
1
1
D
12.04.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
First Vienna
1
1
D
20.03.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
2
0
W
22.02.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
FC BW Linz
1
0
W
08.02.26
Bun
Sturm Graz
Ried
1
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Sturm Graz
Brann
1
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Sturm Graz
FC Copenhagen
4
4
D
H2H at home: Sturm Graz
20.03.26
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
09.11.25
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
09.05.25
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
4
2
W
06.10.24
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
5
0
W
31.03.24
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
L
16.09.23
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
2
D
23.04.23
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
L
Last matches: Red Bull Salzburg
13.08.26
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Pafos
3
3
D
09.08.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
1
1
D
25.07.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
Oberwart
7
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Energie Cottbus
5
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Seekirchen
5
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
1
2
L
26.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
19.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
3
1
W
05.04.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
2
1
W
20.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
0
1
L
22.02.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Lask Linz
5
1
W
15.02.26
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
Grazer AK
1
1
D
01.02.26
Cup
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Aston Villa
2
3
L
10.01.26
Fri
Red Bull Salzburg
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
11.12.25
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
SC Freiburg
0
1
L
06.12.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
30.11.25
Bun
Red Bull Salzburg
SCR Altach
1
1
D
27.11.25
UEF
Red Bull Salzburg
Bologna
1
4
L
H2H away: Red Bull Salzburg
20.03.26
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
09.11.25
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
1
1
D
09.05.25
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
4
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
5
0
L
31.03.24
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
1
W
16.09.23
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
2
2
D
23.04.23
H2H
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
0
2
W

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Sturm Graz Home
22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2
Red Bull Salzburg Away
22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3
Lask Linz
22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4
Austria Vienna
22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5
Rapid Vienna
22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6
TSV Hartberg
22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7
WSG Wattens
22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8
SCR Altach
22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9
Ried
22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10
Wolfsberger AC
22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11
Grazer AK
22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12
FC BW Linz
22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)