NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. W. Grundt
Strommen
Match Timeline
Moss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
O. Aga · Assist: N. Semmen
Moss
16'
L. Fajfric · Assist: S. Rindal
Strommen
🔄
33'
M. Cassidy ↔ K. Harrison
Moss
38'
N. Hristov · Assist: K. Somesi
Strommen
53'
N. Semmen · Assist: R. Marcus
Moss
🔄
57'
E. Race ↔ E. Chidi
Moss
🟨
68'
S. Gronli
Moss
🔄
70'
L. Fajfric ↔ M. Waehler
Strommen
🔄
70'
M. Paulsen ↔ D. Dashaev
Strommen
🟨
78'
C. Crestani
Strommen
🔄
78'
A. Solberg ↔ E. Rogne
Strommen
🔄
78'
S. Beck ↔ T. Romo Lillo
Strommen
🔄
78'
S. Gronli ↔ H. Vold Krohg
Moss
🔄
78'
R. Marcus ↔ P. Andersen
Moss
🟨
81'
S. Rindal
Strommen
🔄
82'
N. Hristov ↔ J. Kristengard
Strommen
🟨
88'
K. Harrison
Moss
🟨
88'
E. Rogne
Strommen
90'
M. Waehler · Assist: C. Crestani
Strommen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Strommen Win 7.8%
Draw 7.8%
Moss Win 84.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strommen1.66
Moss1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strommen Strommen
WWDLW
29 GF / 47 GA
Moss Moss
WLDWL
42 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.75
2.24
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
12
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strommen Strommen 21 matches
Moss Moss 24 matches
Strommen Statistic Moss
7 Wins 8
2 Draws 4
12 Losses 12
29 Goals For 42
47 Goals Against 50
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
2.24 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
12 BTTS Yes 17
18 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 14
2 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Moss. Strommen have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Moss carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 17 points while Strommen sit 16 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moss having the stronger overall control.

Strommen Analysis

Strommen sit 16 with 5 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 14:33 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Hristov (7 goals), L. Fajfric (3 goals), D. Dashaev (1 goals), with creative support from D. Dashaev (4 assists), K. Somesi (2 assists), N. Hristov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Moss Analysis

So far, Moss have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 17 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by O. Aga (6 goals), J. Laegreid (3 goals), N. Semmen (3 goals), with creative support from J. Laegreid (5 assists), O. Aga (2 assists), J. Musbaudeen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Strommen won 2 times, Moss won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Strommen's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Strommen 3-5-2 / Moss 4-3-3
H2H summary: Strommen wins 2, draws 0, Moss wins 3

Lineups

Strommen
Formation
Moss
A. Skjaerstein
A. Skjaerstein
S. Rindal
🎯
S. Rindal
M. Balatoni
M. Balatoni
A. Solberg
A. Solberg
S. Sharif
S. Sharif
K. Somesi
🎯
K. Somesi
C. Crestani
🎯
C. Crestani
S. Beck
S. Beck
M. Paulsen
M. Paulsen
L. Fajfric
L. Fajfric
N. Hristov
N. Hristov
M. Eriksen
M. Eriksen
M. Cassidy
M. Cassidy
K. Strande
K. Strande
W. Olofsson
W. Olofsson
E. Race
E. Race
R. Marcus
🎯
R. Marcus
J. Musbaudeen
J. Musbaudeen
O. Aga
O. Aga
S. Gronli
S. Gronli
N. Semmen
🎯
N. Semmen
J. Laegreid
J. Laegreid
Strommen 3-5-2
Starting XI
12
A. Skjaerstein
2
S. Rindal
🎯 16' 🟨 81'
4
M. Balatoni
13
A. Solberg
↓ 78'
5
S. Sharif
8
K. Somesi
🎯 38'
3
C. Crestani
🎯 90' 🟨 78'
6
S. Beck
↓ 78'
24
M. Paulsen
↓ 70'
18
L. Fajfric
⚽ 16' ↓ 70'
9
N. Hristov
⚽ 38' ↓ 82'
Substitutes
1
M. Kristiansen
11
M. Waehler
⚽ 90' ↑ 70'
F
14
J. Kristengard
↑ 82'
17
D. Dashaev
↑ 70'
D
19
E. Rogne
↑ 78' 🟨 88'
21
T. Ogboji
D
23
S. Nilsen
77
L. Navik
M
98
T. Romo Lillo
↑ 78'
D
Moss 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Eriksen
2
M. Cassidy
↓ 33'
3
K. Strande
24
W. Olofsson
D
5
E. Race
↓ 57'
18
R. Marcus
🎯 53' ↓ 78'
14
J. Musbaudeen
9
O. Aga
⚽ 8'
F
21
S. Gronli
↓ 78' 🟨 68'
20
N. Semmen
⚽ 53' 🎯 8'
7
J. Laegreid
Substitutes
40
J. Rylander
4
K. Harrison
↑ 33' 🟨 88'
D
8
H. Vold Krohg
↑ 78'
M
11
T. Jakobsen
17
P. Andersen
↑ 78'
23
R. Hermanstad
26
E. Chidi
↑ 57'
31
J. Harveg
32
F. Lovtangen
Last matches: Strommen
03.07.26
1.
Strommen
Raufoss
0
1
L
21.06.26
1.
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
2
2
D
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Strommen
Lyn
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
16.05.26
1.
Strommen
Bryne
2
4
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Strommen
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
19.04.26
1.
Strommen
Asane
5
4
W
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Raufoss
0
3
L
01.03.26
Fri
Strommen
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Skeid
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Kjelsås
3
2
W
Last matches: Moss
04.07.26
1.
Moss
Egersund
0
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Moss
Sandnes ULF
1
4
L
14.06.26
1.
Moss
Sogndal
4
2
W
30.05.26
1.
Moss
Stabaek
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Moss
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Moss
Bryne
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Moss
Lyn
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
12.04.26
1.
Moss
hodd
1
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Moss
Raufoss
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Moss
Mjondalen
2
3
L
H2H: Strommen vs Moss
27.06.26
H2H
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
31.01.26
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
0
L
24.09.22
H2H
Strommen
Moss
1
3
L
28.05.22
H2H
Moss
Strommen
2
1
L
03.06.21
H2H
Strommen
Moss
2
0
W
Last matches: Strommen
21.06.26
1.
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Strommen
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Skeid
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Kjelsås
3
2
W
H2H at home: Strommen
27.06.26
H2H
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
24.09.22
H2H
Strommen
Moss
1
3
L
03.06.21
H2H
Strommen
Moss
2
0
W
Last matches: Moss
04.07.26
1.
Moss
Egersund
0
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Moss
Sogndal
4
2
W
25.05.26
1.
Moss
Haugesund
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
3
2
W
01.05.26
1.
Moss
Ranheim
0
4
L
18.04.26
1.
Moss
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
06.04.26
1.
Moss
Asane
3
2
W
29.03.26
Fri
Moss
Stabaek
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Moss
Lyn
1
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Moss
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Moss
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
04.03.26
Fri
Moss
Thor Akureyri
2
3
L
27.02.26
Fri
Moss
Raufoss
3
3
D
20.02.26
Fri
Moss
Mjondalen
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Moss
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
L
H2H away: Moss
27.06.26
H2H
Strommen
Moss
3
2
L
24.09.22
H2H
Strommen
Moss
1
3
W
03.06.21
H2H
Strommen
Moss
2
0
L

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:26 17 31
W W L W W
2 14 9 3 2 36:21 15 30
W L D W W
3 14 8 4 2 41:22 19 28
L D D W W
4 14 8 3 3 32:16 16 27
W W L W D
5 14 7 3 4 27:19 8 24
L D D L W
6 14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
W W D L L
7 14 6 2 6 22:20 2 20
D W W W L
8 14 6 2 6 34:34 0 20
L L W L D
9 14 6 1 7 24:25 -1 19
W L W L L
10 14 5 2 7 19:23 -4 17
D L W W W
11
Moss Away
14 5 2 7 23:32 -9 17
L L L W D
12 14 4 3 7 25:36 -11 15
L W L L W
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 17:31 -14 13
W L W L L
15 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
16 14 3 2 9 18:36 -18 11
L W W L D
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation