FRANCE › LIGUE 1
17.05.2026 19:00
Stade de la Meinau
Referee: B. Bastien
Strasbourg
Match Timeline
Monaco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
L. Camara
Monaco
VAR
13'
Maghnes Akliouche
Monaco
🔄
21'
T. Kehrer ↔ A. Bamba
Monaco
🟨
31'
Christian Mawissa
Monaco
⚽
34'
M. Godo · Assist: J. Enciso
Strasbourg
⚽
42'
L. Camara · Assist: S. Adingra
Monaco
⚽
45'
A. Fati · Assist: A. Bamba
Monaco
🟨
51'
Lamine Camara
Monaco
⚽
55'
I. Doukoure
Monaco
VAR
56'
Folarin Balogun
Monaco
⚽
58'
D. Moreira · Assist: J. Enciso
Strasbourg
🔄
59'
V. Barco ↔ T. Noubissie
Strasbourg
⚽
61'
S. Nanasi · Assist: D. Moreira
Strasbourg
🔄
67'
M. Akliouche ↔ M. Coulibaly
Monaco
🔄
67'
J. Teze ↔ I. Toure
Monaco
🟨
69'
Tyrese Noubissie
Strasbourg
⚽
72'
S. Nanasi · Assist: J. Enciso
Strasbourg
🔄
76'
F. Balogun ↔ M. Biereth
Monaco
🔄
76'
S. Adingra ↔ P. Brunner
Monaco
⚽
84'
M. Godo · Assist: D. Moreira
Strasbourg
🔄
90+1'
S. Nanasi ↔ L. Hogsberg
Strasbourg

Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Strasbourg Win 20.9%
Draw 0%
Monaco Win 79.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg1.64
Monaco1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WWDLW
87 GF / 61 GA
Monaco Monaco
WLDWL
74 GF / 73 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
32
BTTS Yes
30
32
Over 2.5
30
5.06
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strasbourg Strasbourg 52 matches
Monaco Monaco 46 matches
Strasbourg Statistic Monaco
26 Wins 20
11 Draws 11
15 Losses 15
87 Goals For 74
61 Goals Against 73
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
32 BTTS Yes 30
40 Over 1.5 33
32 Over 2.5 30
16 Over 3.5 25
13 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 9
5.06 Shots On Goal 4.57
12.29 Total Shots 12.57
4.31 Corners 4.85
55.3% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Strasbourg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Monaco in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monaco having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Monaco. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Strasbourg Analysis

Strasbourg are currently 8 in the standings with 47 points from 32 matches. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 51:42 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Panichelli (16 goals), Martial Godo (8 goals), E. Emegha (4 goals), with creative support from G. Doue (6 assists), D. Moreira (5 assists), Valentín Barco (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Monaco Analysis

Monaco sit 7 with 54 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 56:49 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Balogun (13 goals), A. Fati (10 goals), M. Akliouche (6 goals), with creative support from M. Akliouche (6 assists), Aleksandr Golovin (5 assists), L. Camara (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg won 5 times, Monaco won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:28 from Strasbourg's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Strasbourg 4-2-3-1 / Monaco 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Strasbourg 3, Monaco 9
H2H summary: Strasbourg wins 5, draws 3, Monaco wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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