NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Sparebanken Sør Arena
Referee: R. Saggi
Start
Match Timeline
Valerenga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
J. Cornelius · Assist: O. Jebali
Start
32'
S. Mvoue · Assist: O. Jebali
Start
🔄
58'
E. Sorensen ↔ L. Haren
Valerenga
🔄
58'
M. Westergaard ↔ O. T. Holm
Valerenga
🔄
66'
S. Mvoue ↔ M. Soomets
Start
🔄
66'
A. Ujkani ↔ F. Palerud
Start
🔄
69'
H. Sjatil ↔ V. Hedenstad
Valerenga
🟨
71'
Fredrik Palerud
Start
🔄
73'
O. Jebali ↔ S. Griesbeck
Start
🔄
75'
H. Bjordal ↔ F. Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
75'
F. Thorvaldsen ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
83'
E. Reitan ↔ J. Ampofo
Start

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Start Win 44.1%
Draw 11.8%
Valerenga Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start1.3
Valerenga1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
21 GF / 38 GA
Valerenga Valerenga
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.81
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
11
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 18 matches
Valerenga Valerenga 16 matches
Start Statistic Valerenga
3 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
10 Losses 5
21 Goals For 29
38 Goals Against 24
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
11 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
3.7 Shots On Goal 4.89
10.7 Total Shots 14.67
3.3 Corners 7.44
41.2% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valerenga. Valerenga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 11 points while Start sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Start expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Cornelius (2 goals), O. Toure (2 goals), E. Reitan (1 goals), with creative support from Erlend Segberg (2 assists), T. Strannegard (2 assists), J. Cornelius (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 9 with 11 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lange (2 goals), Lucas Haren (2 goals), M. Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from C. Lange (1 assists), M. Grundetjern (1 assists), H. Bjordal (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Start won 2 times, Valerenga won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Start's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Valerenga 4-4-2
Missing players: Start 5, Valerenga 3
H2H summary: Start wins 2, draws 1, Valerenga wins 7
Stats
Start Start
Valerenga Valerenga
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
5 Corner Kicks 7
6 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
31% Ball Possession 69%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 6
10 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
269 Total passes 577
172 Passes accurate 491
0.97 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Start
Formation
Valerenga
J. Larsen
J. Larsen
E. Reitan
E. Reitan
O. Jebali
🎯
O. Jebali
J. Norheim
J. Norheim
A. Ujkani
A. Ujkani
T. Strannegard
T. Strannegard
S. Mvoue
S. Mvoue
E. Segberg
E. Segberg
M. Ugland
M. Ugland
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius
O. Hedvall
O. Hedvall
H. Sjatil
H. Sjatil
S. Jarl
S. Jarl
K. Tshiembe
K. Tshiembe
K. Finnsson
K. Finnsson
H. Bjordal
H. Bjordal
C. Lange
C. Lange
M. Westergaard
M. Westergaard
E. Sorensen
E. Sorensen
F. Thorvaldsen
F. Thorvaldsen
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern
Start 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Larsen
G
29
E. Reitan
↓ 83'
D
5
O. Jebali
🎯 5' 🎯 32' ↓ 73'
D
6
J. Norheim
D
3
A. Ujkani
↓ 66'
D
16
T. Strannegard
D
10
S. Mvoue
⚽ 32' ↓ 66'
M
23
E. Segberg
M
18
M. Ugland
M
20
H. Lorentzen
F
17
J. Cornelius
⚽ 5'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Strand-Kolbjornsen
G
39
D. C. Birkenes
G
13
S. Griesbeck
↑ 73'
M
14
M. Soomets
↑ 66'
M
7
A. F. Gurendal
F
2
F. Palerud
↑ 66' 🟨 71'
D
22
J. Ampofo
↑ 83'
F
37
F. Lien
M
Valerenga 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
O. Hedvall
G
3
H. Sjatil
↓ 69'
D
55
S. Jarl
D
5
K. Tshiembe
D
2
K. Finnsson
D
8
H. Bjordal
↓ 75'
M
10
C. Lange
M
28
M. Westergaard
↓ 58'
M
11
E. Sorensen
↓ 58'
M
26
F. Thorvaldsen
↓ 75'
F
17
M. Grundetjern
F
Substitutes
21
M. Sjoeng
G
6
V. Hedenstad
↑ 69'
D
77
L. Haren
↑ 58'
M
29
F. Ambina
↑ 75'
M
9
G. Rajkovic
F
24
P. Strand
↑ 75'
M
15
O. T. Holm
↑ 58'
M
Last matches: Start
08.08.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
01.08.26
Eli
Start
Viking
0
3
L
25.07.26
Eli
Start
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Start
Rosenborg
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Start
Brann
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
4
L
29.05.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
Last matches: Valerenga
08.08.26
Eli
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
26.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Brann
3
2
W
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
H2H: Start vs Valerenga
25.05.26
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
02.11.24
H2H
Valerenga
Start
1
1
D
20.07.24
H2H
Start
Valerenga
1
2
L
01.03.22
H2H
Valerenga
Start
3
1
L
22.12.20
H2H
Valerenga
Start
4
0
L
17.08.20
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
1
W
30.09.18
H2H
Valerenga
Start
3
2
L
14.04.18
H2H
Start
Valerenga
1
6
L
24.07.16
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
4
L
24.04.16
H2H
Valerenga
Start
2
0
L
Last matches: Start
08.08.26
Eli
Start
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
01.08.26
Eli
Start
Viking
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Start
Rosenborg
0
3
L
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Start
Donn
2
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
Start
Vindbjart
2
0
W
H2H at home: Start
25.05.26
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.07.24
H2H
Start
Valerenga
1
2
L
17.08.20
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
1
W
14.04.18
H2H
Start
Valerenga
1
6
L
24.07.16
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
4
L
Last matches: Valerenga
26.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Brann
3
2
W
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Rosenborg
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Djurgardens IF
1
2
L
H2H away: Valerenga
25.05.26
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
0
L
20.07.24
H2H
Start
Valerenga
1
2
W
17.08.20
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
1
L
14.04.18
H2H
Start
Valerenga
1
6
W
24.07.16
H2H
Start
Valerenga
2
4
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 16 13 1 2 39:15 24 40
W W D W W
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 16 8 1 7 22:20 2 25
L L L W W
5 16 7 3 6 29:24 5 24
L D W L D
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 16 6 4 6 19:21 -2 22
L D W D W
8 16 6 4 6 24:27 -3 22
D W L L L
9 16 6 3 7 23:21 2 21
W L W W W
10 16 6 2 8 23:29 -6 20
L L W W L
11 16 6 2 8 17:27 -10 20
W W L L L
12 16 5 3 8 18:26 -8 18
W W L L L
13 16 4 3 9 13:22 -9 15
L L L L D
14 16 4 3 9 15:26 -11 15
W L L D L
15 16 2 8 6 22:36 -14 14
D L D L D
16
Start Home
17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Start 5 missing
-
J. Meyer
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Torkildsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
K. Tonnesen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
O. Toure
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
E. Schulze
Questionable Injury
OUT
Valerenga 3 missing
-
M. Ofkir
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Saeter
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Olsen
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT