FRANCE › LIGUE 1
13.05.2026 17:00
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Referee: B. Millot
Stade Brestois 29
Match Timeline
Strasbourg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
V. Barco · Assist: S. Nanasi
Strasbourg
⚽
13'
L. Ajorque · Assist: K. Lala
Stade Brestois 29
⚽
20'
S. Nanasi · Assist: J. Enciso
Strasbourg
🔄
64'
J. Dina Ebimbe ↔ R. Labeau Lascary
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
72'
D. Moreira ↔ S. Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
🔄
77'
K. Doumbia ↔ H. Makalou
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
78'
R. Del Castillo ↔ P. Mboup
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
82'
M. Godo ↔ Y. Dieme
Strasbourg
🔄
83'
J. Chotard ↔ L. Tousart
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
84'
H. Magnetti ↔ M. Balde
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
85'
Yaya Diémé
Strasbourg
🔄
90+2'
V. Barco ↔ T. Noubissie
Strasbourg

Stade Brestois 29 vs Strasbourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 19.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
19.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stade Brestois 29 Win 57.3%
Draw 5%
Strasbourg Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 291.23
Strasbourg1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WWDLW
42 GF / 53 GA
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WLDWL
85 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
15
BTTS Yes
31
16
Over 2.5
31
3.39
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 matches
Strasbourg Strasbourg 51 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Statistic Strasbourg
10 Wins 25
9 Draws 11
14 Losses 15
42 Goals For 85
53 Goals Against 60
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
15 BTTS Yes 31
27 Over 1.5 39
16 Over 2.5 31
10 Over 3.5 16
9 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 11
3.39 Shots On Goal 5.06
10.7 Total Shots 12.33
3.79 Corners 4.31
43.1% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Strasbourg's more proactive style and Stade Brestois 29's more cautious structure. Strasbourg seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Strasbourg. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stade Brestois 29 expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Strasbourg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Strasbourg having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Stade Brestois 29 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

Stade Brestois 29 sit 12 with 38 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats with a 41:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Del Castillo (8 goals), Ludovic Ajorque (7 goals), J. Dina Ebimbe (5 goals), with creative support from Ludovic Ajorque (9 assists), R. Del Castillo (3 assists), Kamory Doumbia (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Locko, S. Coulibaly, B. Chardonnet unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Strasbourg Analysis

Strasbourg are currently 8 in the standings with 47 points from 32 matches. The record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 51:42 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Panichelli (16 goals), Martial Godo (8 goals), E. Emegha (4 goals), with creative support from G. Doue (6 assists), D. Moreira (5 assists), Valentín Barco (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. Although they are without J. Panichelli, A. Anselmino, E. Emegha, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 5 times, Strasbourg won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Stade Brestois 29 4-1-4-1 / Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Stade Brestois 29 3, Strasbourg 5
H2H summary: Stade Brestois 29 wins 5, draws 4, Strasbourg wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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