NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Nadderud Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stabaek Win 76.9%
Draw 3.8%
Lyn Win 19.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stabaek2.28
Lyn1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stabaek Stabaek
WWDLW
62 GF / 30 GA
Lyn Lyn
WLDWL
30 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
15
BTTS Yes
12
18
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stabaek Stabaek 26 matches
Lyn Lyn 24 matches
Stabaek Statistic Lyn
16 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
6 Losses 15
62 Goals For 30
30 Goals Against 51
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
15 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 17
13 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Stabaek's more proactive style and Lyn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lyn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Stabaek come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stabaek expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lyn in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lyn having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stabaek arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to Lyn in 15 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Stabaek Analysis

Stabaek approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 30 points after 15 outings. The return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 38:16, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Lyn Analysis

With 14 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Lyn still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with a 18:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stabaek won 3 times, Lyn won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Stabaek's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Stabaek 4-2-3-1 / Lyn 4-3-3
H2H summary: Stabaek wins 3, draws 1, Lyn wins 2
Last matches: Stabaek
02.08.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
2
0
W
27.07.26
1.
Stabaek
hodd
6
0
W
03.07.26
1.
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Bryne
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Strommen
0
1
L
14.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
30.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Moss
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sogndal
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
10.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Lyn
4
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
19.04.26
1.
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
Last matches: Lyn
02.08.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
2
W
25.07.26
1.
Lyn
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
02.07.26
1.
Lyn
Asane
6
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Lyn
hodd
1
4
L
19.06.26
1.
Lyn
Ranheim
2
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Lyn
Bryne
0
3
L
30.05.26
1.
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
0
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Lyn
Strommen
1
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Lyn
Egersund
0
0
D
16.05.26
1.
Lyn
Kongsvinger
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Lyn
Raufoss
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Lyn
Stabaek
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Lyn
Moss
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Lyn
Haugesund
2
4
L
30.03.26
Fri
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Moss
3
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
24.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Bryne
3
3
D
H2H: Stabaek vs Lyn
01.05.26
H2H
Lyn
Stabaek
0
4
W
02.11.25
H2H
Stabaek
Lyn
1
5
L
06.04.25
H2H
Lyn
Stabaek
0
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
Lyn
Stabaek
7
1
L
16.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Lyn
2
2
D
19.05.22
H2H
Lyn
Stabaek
2
3
W
Last matches: Stabaek
27.07.26
1.
Stabaek
hodd
6
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Bryne
2
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
23.01.26
Fri
Stabaek
Bærum
3
0
W
H2H at home: Stabaek
02.11.25
H2H
Stabaek
Lyn
1
5
L
16.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Lyn
2
2
D
Last matches: Lyn
25.07.26
1.
Lyn
Stromsgodset
1
1
D
19.06.26
1.
Lyn
Ranheim
2
3
L
30.05.26
1.
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
0
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Lyn
Egersund
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Lyn
Raufoss
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Lyn
Moss
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
0
W
30.03.26
Fri
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
24.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Bryne
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Raufoss
1
2
L
H2H away: Lyn
02.11.25
H2H
Stabaek
Lyn
1
5
W
16.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Lyn
2
2
D