NORWAY 1. DIVISION
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Nadderud Stadion
Referee: A. Bodding

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.76
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.2%
1.76
BTTS Yes
75%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Stabaek Win 68.2%
Draw 4.2%
Bryne Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stabaek2.02
Bryne1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stabaek Stabaek
WWDLW
47 GF / 28 GA
Bryne Bryne
WLDWL
31 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
14
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stabaek Stabaek 22 matches
Bryne Bryne 19 matches
Stabaek Statistic Bryne
12 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
47 Goals For 31
28 Goals Against 35
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
14 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 14
16 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Stabaek's more proactive style and Bryne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bryne. Stabaek arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 21 points compared to Bryne in 9 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bryne having the stronger overall control.

Stabaek Analysis

Stabaek come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 21 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 25:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Lankhof-Dahlby (8 goals), S. Olderheim (5 goals), J. Hanstad (4 goals), with creative support from S. Olderheim (6 assists), B. Tobiassen (4 assists), W. Wendt (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Bryne Analysis

Bryne sit 9 with 13 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 17:20 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Strunck (5 goals), A. Hermansen (2 goals), A. Scriven (2 goals), with creative support from N. Strunck (2 assists), L. Sodal (2 assists), A. Molund (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stabaek won 3 times, Bryne won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:6 from Stabaek's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Stabaek wins 3, draws 2, Bryne wins 1
Last matches: Stabaek
21.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Strommen
0
1
L
14.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
30.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Moss
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sogndal
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
10.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Lyn
4
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
19.04.26
1.
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sandefjord
1
2
L
22.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
IFK Goteborg
2
4
L
06.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Lillestrom
3
1
W
Last matches: Bryne
21.06.26
1.
Bryne
Asane
1
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Bryne
Lyn
3
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Bryne
hodd
1
0
W
25.05.26
1.
Bryne
Stromsgodset
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
Bryne
Raufoss
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Bryne
Strommen
4
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Bryne
Moss
3
2
W
01.05.26
1.
Bryne
Sogndal
3
3
D
25.04.26
1.
Bryne
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Bryne
Egersund
0
1
L
12.04.26
1.
Bryne
Ranheim
2
3
L
07.04.26
1.
Bryne
Kongsvinger
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Bryne
Egersund
3
4
L
13.03.26
Fri
Bryne
Sogndal
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Bryne
Start
2
2
D
24.02.26
Fri
Bryne
Lyn
3
3
D
13.02.26
Fri
Bryne
Tromso
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Bryne
Asane
2
1
W
30.01.26
Fri
Bryne
Sandefjord
0
2
L
H2H: Stabaek vs Bryne
01.09.24
H2H
Bryne
Stabaek
3
0
L
08.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
5
1
W
06.04.24
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
1
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
5
0
W
05.09.22
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
2
2
D
26.05.22
H2H
Bryne
Stabaek
0
0
D
Last matches: Stabaek
14.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
23.01.26
Fri
Stabaek
Bærum
3
0
W
H2H at home: Stabaek
08.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
5
1
W
06.04.24
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
1
0
W
12.03.23
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
5
0
W
05.09.22
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
2
2
D
Last matches: Bryne
14.06.26
1.
Bryne
Lyn
3
0
W
25.05.26
1.
Bryne
Stromsgodset
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
Bryne
Raufoss
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Bryne
Moss
3
2
W
19.04.26
1.
Bryne
Egersund
0
1
L
07.04.26
1.
Bryne
Kongsvinger
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Bryne
Egersund
3
4
L
13.03.26
Fri
Bryne
Sogndal
3
2
W
13.02.26
Fri
Bryne
Tromso
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Bryne
Asane
2
1
W
30.01.26
Fri
Bryne
Sandefjord
0
2
L
H2H away: Bryne
08.05.24
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
5
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
1
0
L
12.03.23
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
5
0
L
05.09.22
H2H
Stabaek
Bryne
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.82
Draw 4.21
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.15
Draw 2.66
Home 2.21
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 2.75 1.49
Over 3.0 1.62
Over 3.25 1.85
Over 3.5 2.06
Over 3.75 2.34
Over 4.5 3.39
Over 5.5 6.10
Under 1.5 6.18
Under 2.5 2.84
Under 2.75 2.56
Under 3.0 2.26
Under 3.25 1.93
Under 3.5 1.74
Under 3.75 1.58
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 4.10
Home 1.73
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.60
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.88
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.82
Draw 4.10
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.03
Draw 2.50
Home 2.21
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.78
Draw 2.89
Home 2.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.26
Over 2.5 1.37
Over 2.75 1.47
Over 3.0 1.59
Over 3.25 1.82
Over 3.5 2.05
Over 3.75 2.32
Over 4.0 2.69
Over 4.25 3.00
Over 4.5 3.20
Over 4.75 3.94
Over 5.0 5.15
Over 5.25 5.47
Over 5.5 5.75
Over 6.0 9.10
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 16.00
Under 1.0 12.00
Under 1.5 5.65
Under 1.75 5.20
Under 2.0 4.75
Under 2.25 3.30
Under 2.5 2.66
Under 2.75 2.42
Under 3.0 2.14
Under 3.25 1.87
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.0 1.38
Under 4.25 1.33
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 4.75 1.19
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 3.80
Home 1.84
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.60
Home 2.28
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.90
Home 2.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.0 1.16
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.0 1.68
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.0 2.95
Over 4.25 3.25
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.0 5.50
Over 5.25 5.80
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 2.0 4.40
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 3.0 2.04
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 4.0 1.34
Under 4.25 1.29
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.09

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 36:16 20 27
D W W W D
2 12 8 3 1 29:16 13 27
D W W L W
3 12 8 1 3 36:23 13 25
L W W W W
4 12 7 2 3 24:14 10 23
D L W W L
5 12 6 3 3 25:14 11 21
L W D W D
6 12 6 2 4 32:26 6 20
W L D W L
7 12 5 2 5 21:26 -5 17
L W D L D
8 12 5 1 6 18:19 -1 16
W W L W L
9 12 5 1 6 19:21 -2 16
W L L L D
10
Bryne Away
12 5 1 6 18:20 -2 16
W W W L L
11 12 4 3 5 14:15 -1 15
D L L W L
12 12 3 3 6 20:29 -9 12
L L W L D
13 12 3 1 8 16:28 -12 10
W L L L W
14 12 3 1 8 10:24 -14 10
L L L W D
15 12 3 1 8 15:24 -9 9
L W L W W
16 12 2 2 8 15:33 -18 8
W L D L L
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation