IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Richmond Park
St Patrick's Athl.
Match Timeline
Galway United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
R. Edmondson · Assist: L. Turner
St Patrick's Athl.
17'
K. Leavy · Assist: J. Brown
St Patrick's Athl.
23'
A. Keena
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
28'
K. Brouder ↔ L. Kavanagh
Galway United
🔄
29'
C. McCormack ↔ F. Pierrot
Galway United
🔄
29'
J. Keohane ↔ M. Wolfe
Galway United
🟨
32'
W. Williams
Galway United
🟨
44'
S. Walsh
Galway United
🔄
54'
W. Williams ↔ A. Kazeem
Galway United
🔄
68'
A. Keena ↔ B. Baggley
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
72'
S. Walsh ↔ D. Connolly
Galway United
🔄
78'
R. Edmondson ↔ D. Nugent
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
78'
K. Leavy ↔ R. Sheridan
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
84'
R. Palmer ↔ C. Forrester
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
84'
J. McClelland ↔ A. Breslin
St Patrick's Athl.
🟨
90'
L. Kavanagh
Galway United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
St Patrick's Athl. Win 66.9%
Draw 3.9%
Galway United Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.1.69
Galway United1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WWDLW
39 GF / 20 GA
Galway United Galway United
WLDWL
32 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
9
BTTS Yes
16
9
Over 2.5
13
4.95
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 24 matches
Galway United Galway United 24 matches
St Patrick's Athl. Statistic Galway United
12 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 11
39 Goals For 32
20 Goals Against 43
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
9 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 2
9 Failed To Score 6
4.95 Shots On Goal 3.57
15.64 Total Shots 11.52
5.41 Corners 4.52
51.5% Ball Possession 36.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Galway United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Galway United. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 38 points compared to Galway United in 7 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St Patrick's Athl. expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Galway United in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Galway United having the stronger overall control.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

Placed 2 with 38 points from 21 outings, St Patrick's Athl. continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 35:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ryan Edmondson (4 goals), Zac Elbouzedi (3 goals), Kian Leavy (3 goals), with creative support from Zac Elbouzedi (3 assists), Joe Redmond (2 assists), Luke Turner (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Galway United Analysis

So far, Galway United have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 24 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 28:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Aaron Bolger (2 goals), Edward McCarthy (2 goals), Kristopher Twardek (1 goals), with creative support from Kristopher Twardek (3 assists), David Hurley (2 assists), Jimmy Keohane (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 7 times, Galway United won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: St Patrick's Athl. 3-4-2-1 / Galway United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: St Patrick's Athl. wins 7, draws 4, Galway United wins 3
Stats
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United Galway United
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

St Patrick's Athl.
Formation
Galway United
D. Rogers
D. Rogers
J. Redmond
J. Redmond
S. Hoare
S. Hoare
L. Turner
🎯
L. Turner
J. Brown
🎯
J. Brown
J. Lennon
J. Lennon
R. Palmer
R. Palmer
J. McClelland
J. McClelland
K. Leavy
K. Leavy
A. Keena
A. Keena
R. Edmondson
R. Edmondson
H. Cunha
H. Cunha
J. Keohane
J. Keohane
W. Williams
W. Williams
K. Brouder
K. Brouder
L. Devitt
L. Devitt
G. Facchineri
G. Facchineri
C. McCormack
C. McCormack
D. Hurley
D. Hurley
A. Bolger
A. Bolger
E. McCarthy
E. McCarthy
S. Walsh
S. Walsh
St Patrick's Athl. 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Rogers
4
J. Redmond
2
S. Hoare
24
L. Turner
🎯 8'
23
J. Brown
🎯 17'
6
J. Lennon
17
R. Palmer
↓ 84'
11
J. McClelland
↓ 84'
10
K. Leavy
⚽ 17' ↓ 78'
9
A. Keena
⚽ 23' ↓ 68'
27
R. Edmondson
⚽ 8' ↓ 78'
Substitutes
49
S. Molloy
19
B. Baggley
↑ 68'
15
R. Boyce
35
S. Rooney
8
C. Forrester
↑ 84'
3
A. Breslin
↑ 84'
16
D. Nugent
↑ 78'
42
G. Nzingo
48
R. Sheridan
↑ 78'
Galway United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
H. Cunha
4
J. Keohane
↓ 29'
15
W. Williams
↓ 54' 🟨 32'
5
K. Brouder
↓ 28'
20
L. Devitt
12
G. Facchineri
22
C. McCormack
↓ 29'
10
D. Hurley
8
A. Bolger
24
E. McCarthy
7
S. Walsh
↓ 72' 🟨 44'
Substitutes
32
C. Gleeson
19
L. Kavanagh
↑ 28' 🟨 90'
17
J. Thiam
23
F. Pierrot
↑ 29'
21
D. Connolly
↑ 72'
14
M. Wolfe
↑ 29'
30
A. Kazeem
↑ 54'
6
A. Piesold
29
N. Fleuriau Chateau
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
02.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
2
4
L
10.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
1
1
D
26.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
0
2
L
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
Last matches: Galway United
02.08.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
2
D
H2H: St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United
03.07.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
01.05.26
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
02.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
19.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
1
D
14.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
1
W
20.06.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
3
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
0
W
21.02.25
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
1
L
18.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
W
11.08.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
W
16.02.24
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
W
20.01.23
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
28.01.22
H2H
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
L
Last matches: St Patrick's Athl.
02.08.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
1
1
D
24.07.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
2
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
4
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
3
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
4
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
4
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
1
1
D
07.08.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
1
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
1
0
W
10.07.25
UEF
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
1
0
W
H2H at home: St Patrick's Athl.
03.07.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
W
02.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
W
19.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
1
D
14.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
1
W
02.05.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
0
W
18.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
W
31.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
W
Last matches: Galway United
02.08.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
1
1
D
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
29.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Cork City
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
6
L
H2H away: Galway United
03.07.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
0
L
02.03.26
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
0
L
19.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
1
1
D
14.09.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
3
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
0
L
18.10.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
L
31.05.24
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
2
1
L

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 6 5 40:22 18 51
D W W D W
2 26 12 8 6 41:22 19 44
D D D W L
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
D W W W L
4 26 9 10 7 40:38 2 37
D D L L L
5 25 8 10 7 35:36 -1 34
L W D L D
6 26 6 12 8 33:32 1 30
D L W D L
7 25 7 8 10 33:40 -7 29
D D W L L
8 26 6 9 11 31:43 -12 27
D D W L L
9 26 5 10 11 34:47 -13 25
W D D W W
10 26 5 7 14 23:43 -20 22
D D L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation