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--.--.---- --:--
ST Johnstone
FT
4 - 3
Kilmarnock
McDiarmid Park
ST Johnstone
Match Timeline
Kilmarnock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
J. Fowler · Assist: J. Gullan
ST Johnstone
🟨
21'
Tyreece John-Jules
Kilmarnock
⚽
37'
G. Kiltie · Assist: T. Lowery
Kilmarnock
🟨
45+4'
Liam Smith
ST Johnstone
🔄
45+2'
T. John-Jules ↔ J. Brandon
Kilmarnock
⚽
47'
C. Diabate · Assist: J. Gullan
ST Johnstone
⚽
49'
J. Hugill
Kilmarnock
🟨
52'
Cheick Diabate
ST Johnstone
⚽
53'
J. Holt
Kilmarnock
🔄
59'
N. Clescenco ↔ R. Mathurin
Kilmarnock
🔄
59'
A. Tshibola ↔ B. Rice
Kilmarnock
🔄
61'
J. Holt ↔ L. Chalmers
ST Johnstone
🔄
61'
R. Paton ↔ K. Fotheringham
ST Johnstone
🔄
66'
E. Ring ↔ M. O'Hara
Kilmarnock
🔄
69'
R. McAlear ↔ L. Lloyd
ST Johnstone
⚽
69'
M. Schjonning-Larsen
ST Johnstone
⚽
80'
K. Fotheringham · Assist: J. Fowler
ST Johnstone
🟨
82'
Jamie Brandon
Kilmarnock
🔄
84'
J. Fowler ↔ M. Tait
ST Johnstone
🔄
85'
J. Gullan ↔ J. Baird
ST Johnstone
🔄
85'
G. Kiltie ↔ I. Owen
Kilmarnock

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
ST Johnstone Win 6%
Draw 6%
Kilmarnock Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
ST Johnstone2.6
Kilmarnock2.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
WWDLW
11 GF / 2 GA
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WLDWL
7 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
3.67
Average Goals Scored
3.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 3 matches
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2 matches
ST Johnstone Statistic Kilmarnock
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
11 Goals For 7
2 Goals Against 2
3.67 Avg Goals Scored 3.5
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ST Johnstone won 9 times, Kilmarnock won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from ST Johnstone's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: ST Johnstone 4-2-3-1 / Kilmarnock 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: ST Johnstone wins 9, draws 1, Kilmarnock wins 5
Stats
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
6 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
534 Total passes 428
445 Passes accurate 331
2.03 expected_goals 0.92
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

ST Johnstone
Formation
Kilmarnock
T. Steward
T. Steward
L. Smith
L. Smith
Z. Mitchell
Z. Mitchell
C. Diabate
⚽
C. Diabate
M. Foulds
M. Foulds
R. McAlear
↓
R. McAlear
J. Holt
⚽ ↓
J. Holt
S. Stanton
S. Stanton
J. Gullan
🎯 ↓
J. Gullan
R. Paton
↓
R. Paton
J. Fowler
⚽ 🎯 ↓
J. Fowler
M. Stryjek
M. Stryjek
E. Ring
↓
E. Ring
E. Schilte-Brown
E. Schilte-Brown
G. Stanger
G. Stanger
M. Schjonning-Larsen
⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen
G. Kiltie
⚽ ↓
G. Kiltie
A. Tshibola
↓
A. Tshibola
T. Lowery
🎯
T. Lowery
N. Clescenco
↓
N. Clescenco
T. John-Jules
↓
T. John-Jules
J. Hugill
⚽
J. Hugill
ST Johnstone 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Steward
G
33
L. Smith
🟨 45+4'
D
5
Z. Mitchell
D
3
C. Diabate
⚽ 47' 🟨 52'
D
14
M. Foulds
D
42
R. McAlear
↓ 69'
M
8
J. Holt
⚽ 53' ↓ 61'
M
11
S. Stanton
M
10
J. Gullan
🎯 16' 🎯 47' ↓ 85'
M
99
R. Paton
↓ 61'
M
9
J. Fowler
⚽ 16' 🎯 80' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
20
R. Sinclair
G
23
L. Chalmers
↑ 61'
M
4
M. Boyes
D
19
D. Finlayson
D
25
M. Tait
↑ 84'
M
7
T. Steven
F
15
J. Baird
↑ 85'
D
17
L. Lloyd
↑ 69'
F
18
K. Fotheringham
⚽ 80' ↑ 61'
F
Kilmarnock 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
1
M. Stryjek
G
8
E. Ring
↓ 66'
D
25
E. Schilte-Brown
D
14
G. Stanger
D
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
⚽ 69'
D
11
G. Kiltie
⚽ 37' ↓ 85'
M
36
A. Tshibola
↓ 59'
M
18
T. Lowery
🎯 37'
M
20
N. Clescenco
↓ 59'
M
10
T. John-Jules
↓ 45+2' 🟨 21'
F
9
J. Hugill
⚽ 49'
F
Substitutes
12
C. Ferrie
G
7
R. McKenzie
M
27
I. Owen
↑ 85'
F
5
M. O'Hara
↑ 66'
2
J. Brandon
↑ 45+2' 🟨 82'
D
23
R. Mathurin
↑ 59'
F
15
J. Yfeko
D
49
B. Rice
↑ 59'
M
39
E. Bowie
D
Last matches: ST Johnstone
08.08.26
Pre
ST Johnstone
ST Mirren
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
ST Johnstone
Cove Rangers
4
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
ST Johnstone
Montrose
3
0
W
30.06.26
Fri
ST Johnstone
Forfar Athletic
4
0
W
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
H2H: ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
02.08.26
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
4
3
W
03.05.25
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
15.02.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
11.08.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
0
3
W
13.04.24
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
23.12.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
2
1
L
01.11.23
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
2
1
W
20.05.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
0
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
05.10.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
2
1
L
30.01.21
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
2
3
W
06.11.20
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
15.08.20
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
1
2
W
Last matches: ST Johnstone
No recent matches found.
H2H at home: ST Johnstone
02.08.26
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
4
3
W
03.05.25
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
23.11.24
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
2
1
W
29.10.22
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
06.11.20
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
Last matches: Kilmarnock
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
1
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D
14.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
1
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
3
L
26.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
3
L
27.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2
2
D
H2H away: Kilmarnock
02.08.26
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
4
3
L
03.05.25
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
0
2
W
23.11.24
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
0
2
W
01.11.23
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
2
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
06.11.20
H2H
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
1
0
L