ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Republica de Italia Stadium
Sportivo Italiano
Match Timeline
Villa San Carlos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
K. Pavia ↔ S. Fabi
Villa San Carlos
🔄
46'
A. Acosta ↔ M. Almiron
Villa San Carlos
54'
P. Caceres
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
66'
F. Farias ↔ E. Melillo
Villa San Carlos
🟨
67'
S. Fabi
Villa San Carlos
🟨
71'
Villa San Carlos
Villa San Carlos
🔄
72'
A. Martinez ↔ J. Villagra
Villa San Carlos
🔄
76'
K. Gimenez ↔ R. Fortino
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
78'
A. Ponton ↔ F. Guallama
Villa San Carlos
🔄
82'
L. Laborda ↔ J. De Cuadro
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
83'
P. Caceres ↔ T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
84'
Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.2%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Italiano Win 49.7%
Draw 6.8%
Villa San Carlos Win 43.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Italiano1.1
Villa San Carlos0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WWDLW
24 GF / 20 GA
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
WLDWL
24 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
12
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 24 matches
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 24 matches
Sportivo Italiano Statistic Villa San Carlos
10 Wins 4
8 Draws 10
6 Losses 10
24 Goals For 24
20 Goals Against 30
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Villa San Carlos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Villa San Carlos. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa San Carlos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sportivo Italiano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 33 points compared to Villa San Carlos in 21 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

So far, Sportivo Italiano have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 33 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Villa San Carlos Analysis

Villa San Carlos sit 21 with 17 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 20:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Italiano won 4 times, Villa San Carlos won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Sportivo Italiano's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Sportivo Italiano wins 4, draws 6, Villa San Carlos wins 4

Lineups

Sportivo Italiano
Formation
Villa San Carlos
G. Yordan
G. Yordan
C. Ordonez
C. Ordonez
L. Fantino
L. Fantino
C. Bifiguer
C. Bifiguer
J. Rivero
J. Rivero
E. Merzario
E. Merzario
P. Caceres
P. Caceres
A. Guerra
A. Guerra
M. Guzman
M. Guzman
K. Gimenez
K. Gimenez
L. Laborda
L. Laborda
E. Gonzalez
E. Gonzalez
T. Akimenco
T. Akimenco
F. Farias
F. Farias
I. Esteves
I. Esteves
A. Lloyaiy
A. Lloyaiy
F. Ojeda
F. Ojeda
A. Martinez
A. Martinez
A. Ponton
A. Ponton
A. Acosta
A. Acosta
K. Pavia
K. Pavia
F. Ferrante
F. Ferrante
Sportivo Italiano 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Yordan
G
2
C. Ordonez
3
L. Fantino
4
C. Bifiguer
5
J. Rivero
6
E. Merzario
7
P. Caceres
⚽ 54' ↓ 83'
8
A. Guerra
9
M. Guzman
10
K. Gimenez
↓ 76'
11
L. Laborda
↓ 82'
Substitutes
12
A. Alastra
13
F. Di Massimo
14
P. Durante
15
A. Daivez
16
L. Guzman
17
J. De Cuadro
↑ 82'
18
R. Fortino
↑ 76'
19
J. D'Acquila
20
T. Hirigoyen
↑ 83'
Villa San Carlos 1 (estimated)
Starting XI
5
E. Gonzalez
M
1
T. Akimenco
8
F. Farias
↓ 66'
2
I. Esteves
4
A. Lloyaiy
6
F. Ojeda
3
A. Martinez
↓ 72'
10
A. Ponton
↓ 78'
11
A. Acosta
↓ 46'
7
K. Pavia
↓ 46'
9
F. Ferrante
Substitutes
12
P. Bangardino
13
S. Fabi
↑ 46' 🟨 67'
14
F. Mussis
M
15
E. Melillo
↑ 66'
16
F. Cairo
17
F. Guallama
↑ 78'
18
Z. Zegarra
19
J. Villagra
↑ 72'
M
20
M. Almiron
↑ 46'
Last matches: Sportivo Italiano
25.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
2
1
W
10.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Real Pilar
1
1
D
28.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
20.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Villa Dalmine
1
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Arsenal Sarandi
3
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino de Merlo
0
2
L
27.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Talleres Remedios
1
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Brown DE Adrogue
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Flandria
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino Quilmes
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Defensores Unidos
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Comunicaciones
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Dock Sud
3
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
Last matches: Villa San Carlos
25.07.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Camioneros
0
2
L
10.07.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
28.06.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Liniers
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Real Pilar
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Villa Dalmine
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Excursionistas
0
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Camioneros
0
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Arsenal Sarandi
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Argentino de Merlo
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Laferrere
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Brown DE Adrogue
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Armenio
4
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Flandria
4
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Defensores Unidos
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
H2H: Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos
14.07.26
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
03.03.26
H2H
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
W
05.09.25
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
2
1
L
12.10.24
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
4
0
W
25.05.24
H2H
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
2
2
D
03.02.19
H2H
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
26.08.18
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
1
L
05.09.15
H2H
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
1
1
D
18.04.15
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
1
L
05.11.14
H2H
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
W
10.09.14
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
3
L
13.05.12
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
1
D
04.12.11
H2H
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
1
1
D
Last matches: Sportivo Italiano
05.07.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Real Pilar
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino de Merlo
0
2
L
27.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Argentino Quilmes
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Comunicaciones
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Liniers
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Laferrere
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
04.10.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
San Martín Burzaco
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
1
0
W
05.09.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pri
Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sportivo Italiano
14.07.26
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
05.09.25
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
12.10.24
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
4
0
W
26.08.18
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
1
L
18.04.15
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
1
L
10.09.14
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
3
L
13.05.12
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
1
D
Last matches: Villa San Carlos
25.07.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
04.07.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
28.06.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Liniers
1
1
D
20.06.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Real Pilar
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Villa Dalmine
0
0
D
26.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Camioneros
0
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Arsenal Sarandi
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Brown DE Adrogue
1
2
L
14.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Flandria
4
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Defensores Unidos
0
2
L
23.03.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Dock Sud
0
2
L
27.02.26
Pri
Villa San Carlos
San Martín Burzaco
3
3
D
02.12.25
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Acassuso
0
1
L
15.11.25
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Comunicaciones
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Villa San Carlos
San Martín Burzaco
1
1
D
12.10.25
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Real Pilar
0
1
L
05.09.25
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pri
Villa San Carlos
Excursionistas
0
0
D
H2H away: Villa San Carlos
14.07.26
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
0
L
05.09.25
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
12.10.24
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
4
0
L
26.08.18
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
1
W
18.04.15
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
1
W
10.09.14
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
0
3
W
13.05.12
H2H
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
1
1
D

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 31:13 18 52
W W L D W
2 27 14 9 4 37:19 18 51
D W L W W
3 27 14 8 5 38:18 20 50
D D W L L
4 27 14 8 5 33:17 16 50
W W W L W
5 27 13 10 4 30:14 16 49
D D D W W
6 27 12 9 6 27:21 6 45
D W W W D
7 27 11 7 9 31:30 1 40
W L L W D
8 27 10 8 9 31:28 3 38
L W D W L
9 27 10 8 9 30:31 -1 38
D D W D D
10 27 10 8 9 29:32 -3 38
L W W D W
11 27 9 9 9 32:40 -8 36
L D W D L
12 27 9 8 10 26:25 1 35
L D L W D
13 27 8 11 8 26:25 1 35
L L W D D
14 27 7 11 9 27:25 2 32
D W D L W
15 27 7 11 9 25:28 -3 32
D D W L L
16 27 6 10 11 18:27 -9 28
D D L L D
17 27 7 6 14 21:33 -12 27
D L W D L
18 27 6 9 12 17:29 -12 27
W L L D D
19 27 5 11 11 21:30 -9 26
D D L L D
20 27 5 10 12 26:34 -8 25
W L L D W
21 27 3 16 8 13:23 -10 25
D L D D L
22 27 1 8 18 18:45 -27 11
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)