Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.6%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
61.9%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
87.5%
|
1.68 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
7.00 |
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Boys
18 matches
Comerciantes Unidos
18 matches
| Sport Boys | Statistic | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 17 | Goals For | 19 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.19 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 13.69 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 4.56 | Corners | 3.81 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 43.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Comerciantes Unidos. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Comerciantes Unidos in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Sport Boys sit 14 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 14:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Nequecaur (5 goals), L. Urruti (3 goals), O. Mora (2 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcon (4 assists), L. Nequecaur (2 assists), C. Lopez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Comerciantes Unidos are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 3 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Sport Boys's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Sport Boys
3
3
6
6
6
5
Lineups
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Cusco
Sport Boys
Universitario
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
ADT
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Boys
Everton de Vina
Sport Boys
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Cusco
Sport Boys
Universitario
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Boys
Everton de Vina
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Away
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Sport Boys
Home
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|