PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
30.05.2026 22:30
Estadio Miguel Grau
Referee: Julio Cesar Quiroz, Peru
Sport Boys
Match Timeline
Comerciantes Unidos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
56'
Carlos Zambrano
Sport Boys
🔄
64'
J. Herrera ↔ O. Pinto
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
65'
L. Urruti ↔ P. Liza
Sport Boys
🔄
66'
O. Mora ↔ A. Vasquez
Sport Boys
🔄
79'
M. Trauco ↔ F. Illanes
Sport Boys
🔄
79'
L. Nequecaur ↔ R. Diaz
Sport Boys
🟨
84'
Mathias Llontop
Sport Boys
🟨
84'
Agustín Rodriguez
Comerciantes Unidos
86'
C. Lopez
Sport Boys
🟨
87'
Carlos López
Sport Boys
🟨
88'
Juan Rodríguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
89'
A. Rodriguez ↔ T. Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
90'
F. Alcedo ↔ E. M. Perez Azambuya
Comerciantes Unidos

Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 51.6%
Draw 5.4%
Comerciantes Unidos Win 43%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys1.03
Comerciantes Unidos1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
17 GF / 22 GA
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WLDWL
19 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
6
4.19
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 18 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 18 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Comerciantes Unidos
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 7
8 Losses 6
17 Goals For 19
22 Goals Against 21
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 5
4.19 Shots On Goal 4.06
13.69 Total Shots 12.5
4.56 Corners 3.81
51.2% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Comerciantes Unidos. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Comerciantes Unidos in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sport Boys Analysis

Sport Boys sit 14 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 14:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Nequecaur (5 goals), L. Urruti (3 goals), O. Mora (2 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcon (4 assists), L. Nequecaur (2 assists), C. Lopez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 3 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Sport Boys's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 4-2-3-1 / Comerciantes Unidos 5-4-1
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 3, draws 3, Comerciantes Unidos wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 7 2 40:15 25 52
L D W D W
2 24 13 6 5 39:24 15 45
W W W D L
3 24 12 6 6 31:21 10 42
W W D W W
4 24 12 5 7 34:37 -3 41
L L L D W
5 24 11 6 7 40:28 12 39
L D W L D
6 24 12 3 9 36:36 0 39
W L W L W
7 24 11 4 9 39:35 4 37
L L D L W
8 24 9 7 8 34:29 5 34
W W D W L
9 24 9 7 8 26:23 3 34
W W D D W
10 24 8 5 11 38:38 0 29
L L W D W
11 24 7 8 9 32:33 -1 29
L W L W L
12 24 8 5 11 20:23 -3 29
W W W D L
13 24 7 6 11 35:50 -15 27
W W L D L
14 24 7 5 12 31:41 -10 26
W L L D W
15 24 6 7 11 23:33 -10 25
L W D L D
16 24 6 6 12 36:44 -8 24
W L L W L
17 24 5 7 12 27:36 -9 22
L L D D L
18 24 4 8 12 27:42 -15 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2