RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
09.08.2026 17:00
Lukoil Arena
Referee: Kirill Levnikov, Russia
Spartak Moscow
Match Timeline
FC Krasnodar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
M. Ugalde · Assist: Marquinhos
Spartak Moscow
5'
L. Olaza · Assist: Douglas Augusto
FC Krasnodar
10'
Joao Batxi · Assist: N. Krivtsov
FC Krasnodar
🟨
21'
Aleksandr Chernikov
FC Krasnodar
🔄
46'
E. Barco ↔ C. Martins
Spartak Moscow
🔄
66'
A. Chernikov ↔ K. Lenini
FC Krasnodar
🔄
68'
S. Babic ↔ M. Daku
Spartak Moscow
🔄
75'
M. Ugalde ↔ D. Prutsev
Spartak Moscow
🟨
76'
Ilya Vakhaniya
FC Krasnodar
🟨
79'
Gedson Fernandes
Spartak Moscow
🔄
83'
D. Vorobyev ↔ M. Ozdoev
FC Krasnodar
🔄
84'
R. Zobnin ↔ I. Dmitriev
Spartak Moscow
🔄
86'
Christian ↔ V. Paltsev
FC Krasnodar
🟨
90+4'
Jubal
FC Krasnodar

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Moscow Win 50.7%
Draw 10.8%
FC Krasnodar Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow1.56
FC Krasnodar1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
WWDLW
20 GF / 9 GA
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar
WLDWL
26 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
2.36
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
5
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
8
6.5
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 11 matches
FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 11 matches
Spartak Moscow Statistic FC Krasnodar
8 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 2
20 Goals For 26
9 Goals Against 13
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 2.36
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
5 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
6.5 Shots On Goal 6.5
18.5 Total Shots 15
8.5 Corners 3
66.5% Ball Possession 63.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Moscow won 8 times, FC Krasnodar won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from Spartak Moscow's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1 / FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Spartak Moscow 1, FC Krasnodar 1
H2H summary: Spartak Moscow wins 8, draws 1, FC Krasnodar wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 14:7 7 20
D D W W W
2 8 5 1 2 11:8 3 16
W W W W L
3 8 4 4 0 12:8 4 16
D W D W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:7 8 16
W L D W W
5 8 5 0 3 16:7 9 15
W L W L W
6 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L L W
7 8 3 2 3 12:9 3 11
D L W D L
8 8 2 5 1 11:10 1 11
D D W D D
9 8 2 4 2 13:11 2 10
W D D W L
10 8 2 4 2 12:13 -1 10
W D D W L
11 8 1 5 2 7:10 -3 8
L D D D D
12 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L W L L D
13 8 1 3 4 7:10 -3 6
L W L L D
14 8 0 5 3 9:18 -9 5
D D D L D
15 8 1 1 6 9:21 -12 4
L L L L D
16 8 0 3 5 6:12 -6 3
D L L D L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL