Login Register
14.10.2026 23:30
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Referee: T. Ford
Columbus Crew
Match Timeline
Charlotte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
I. Toklomati
Charlotte
⚽
28'
B. Mendez · Assist: S. Rodriguez
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
W. Cleary ↔ N. Byrne
Charlotte
🔄
46'
B. Bronico ↔ L. de la Torre
Charlotte
🔄
46'
L. Abada ↔ R. Aloko
Charlotte
⚽
63'
A. Zaroury · Assist: M. Farsi
Columbus Crew
⚽
65'
T. Habroune
Columbus Crew
🟨
69'
Malte Amundsen
Columbus Crew
🔄
69'
A. Zaroury ↔ B. Lennon
Columbus Crew
🟨
72'
Patrick Schulte
Columbus Crew
🔄
78'
D. Chambost ↔ S. Bangoura
Columbus Crew
🔄
78'
J. Martinez ↔ J. Thiare
Columbus Crew
🔄
78'
A. Saint-Maximin ↔ T. Smalls
Charlotte
🔄
83'
P. Biel ↔ D. Diani
Charlotte
🔄
86'
M. Amundsen ↔ E. Bailly
Columbus Crew
🔄
86'
S. Rodriguez ↔ A. Gomes
Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 28.6%
Draw 4.1%
Charlotte Win 67.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.42
Charlotte1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
L W W L L
7 GF / 7 GA
Charlotte Charlotte
W L W D W
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
22
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
21
4.32
Shots on Goal
4.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 matches
Charlotte Charlotte 32 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic Charlotte
9 Wins 16
6 Draws 7
16 Losses 9
46 Goals For 56
49 Goals Against 43
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
22 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
4.32 Shots On Goal 4.96
12.46 Total Shots 11.68
5.29 Corners 4.82
56.1% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Charlotte's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Charlotte carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 43 points while Columbus Crew sit 12 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Charlotte. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Charlotte in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charlotte having the stronger overall control.

Columbus Crew Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Columbus Crew have collected 29 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 39:43 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Diego Rossi (4 goals), D. Gazdag (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from M. Farsi (3 assists), Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 43 points after 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 47:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Idan Toklomati (6 goals), Pep Biel (5 goals), Liel Abada (4 goals), with creative support from Pep Biel (4 assists), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), A. Westwood (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 2 times, Charlotte won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.56 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 3-4-3 / Charlotte 4-3-3
Missing players: Columbus Crew 1, Charlotte 3
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 2, draws 3, Charlotte wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)