Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sparta Rotterdam
33 matches
Excelsior
33 matches
| Sparta Rotterdam | Statistic | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 16 |
| 38 | Goals For | 40 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.36 | Shots On Goal | 4.27 |
| 12.85 | Total Shots | 12.36 |
| 4.55 | Corners | 4.15 |
| 46.8% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sparta Rotterdam expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Excelsior in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Excelsior having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Excelsior. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sparta Rotterdam have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Sparta Rotterdam approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 43 points from 33 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 38:59, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Lauritsen (12 goals), S. Mito (7 goals), J. Kitolano (6 goals), with creative support from T. Lauritsen (4 assists), M. van Bergen (4 assists), S. Mito (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Excelsior approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 35 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats with a 40:54 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Noah Naujoks (9 goals), D. Sanches Fernandes (6 goals), I. Yegoian (5 goals), with creative support from G. de Regt (6 assists), D. Sanches Fernandes (3 assists), R. Meissen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 5 times, Excelsior won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:18 from Sparta Rotterdam's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
Sparta Rotterdam
5
4
6
9
7
3
Lineups
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Volendam
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
VVV Venlo
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Volendam
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
Excelsior
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Groningen
Excelsior
Utrecht
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
Heracles
Excelsior
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Heerenveen
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Ajax
Excelsior
Twente
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Telstar
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Groningen
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Volendam
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Excelsior
Groningen
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Heracles
Excelsior
Feyenoord
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Twente
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
Ajax
Excelsior
Telstar
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Heerenveen
Excelsior
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Utrecht
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Sparta Rotterdam
Home
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Excelsior
Away
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|