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25.10.2026 14:00
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Sparta Praha vs Slovácko Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sparta Praha Win 73.6%
Draw 4.8%
Slovácko Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha1.84
Slovácko1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WWDLW
46 GF / 32 GA
Slovácko Slovácko
WLDWL
24 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
11
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
12
5.8
Shots on Goal
3.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 23 matches
Slovácko Slovácko 20 matches
Sparta Praha Statistic Slovácko
12 Wins 5
3 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
46 Goals For 24
32 Goals Against 32
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
11 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
5.8 Shots On Goal 3.09
16.2 Total Shots 10.91
6.87 Corners 3.82
59.9% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sparta Praha's more proactive style and Slovácko's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Slovácko. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sparta Praha expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Slovácko in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slovácko having the stronger overall control. Sparta Praha arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 18 points compared to Slovácko in 15 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Sparta Praha come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 18 points after 10 matches. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 20:12, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through John Mercado (4 goals), Adam Karabec (2 goals), Jonatan Braut Brunes (1 goals), with creative support from Adam Karabec (2 assists), Jonatan Braut Brunes (2 assists), Dominik Hollý (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Slovácko Analysis

With 7 points from 10 games and a place of 15, Slovácko still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Pavel Juroška (2 goals), Marek Havlík (1 goals), Gigli Ndefe (1 goals), with creative support from David Puškáč (2 assists), Marek Havlík (1 assists), Michal Trávník (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Praha won 8 times, Slovácko won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:18 from Sparta Praha's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1 / Slovácko 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sparta Praha wins 8, draws 4, Slovácko wins 3

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 3 0 26:6 20 27
D W W W W
2 11 6 2 3 18:14 4 20
W D L W W
3 11 6 2 3 13:7 6 20
L L D W W
4 11 6 2 3 18:13 5 20
W L L W L
5 11 6 1 4 14:14 0 19
W L L W L
6 11 6 1 4 20:12 8 19
D W W W L
7 11 5 2 4 18:17 1 17
L D W L W
8 11 5 2 4 14:12 2 17
L W D L W
9 11 4 4 3 23:19 4 16
W W L L D
10 10 4 3 3 11:11 0 15
W W L W L
11 11 4 3 4 10:13 -3 15
D L L W D
12 11 3 2 6 12:16 -4 11
W L W W D
13 11 3 2 6 7:18 -11 11
D L D L L
14 10 2 2 6 11:20 -9 8
W D L L W
15 11 1 4 6 10:18 -8 7
L W D L D
16 11 0 1 10 8:23 -15 1
L L D L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
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