GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
09.08.2026 16:00
Spaeri Stadium
Referee: K. Revazashvili
Spaeri
Match Timeline
Dinamo Tbilisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
L. Kokhreidze · Assist: B. Jibril
Spaeri
🔄
46'
A. Bah ↔ L. Houri
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
T. Kvaratskhelia ↔ K. Kakashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
58'
T. Tsetskhladze ↔ T. Tsalughelashvili
Spaeri
🔄
72'
G. Tsetskhladze ↔ R. Injgia
Spaeri
73'
K. Kakashvili · Assist: M. Do Couto
Dinamo Tbilisi
75'
M. Vatsadze · Assist: Leo Santos
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
78'
G. Bunturi
Spaeri
🔄
79'
M. Vatsadze ↔ M. Gbomadu
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
84'
M. Do Couto ↔ Welton
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
86'
S. Mathenjwa ↔ N. Chagunava
Spaeri
🔄
86'
B. Jibril ↔ Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🔄
86'
S. Gegiadze ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
🔄
90+2'
L. Kharabadze ↔ J. Kankava
Dinamo Tbilisi

Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spaeri Win 36.1%
Draw 17.8%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spaeri1.44
Dinamo Tbilisi1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spaeri Spaeri
WWDLW
37 GF / 36 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WLDWL
46 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
17
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spaeri Spaeri 26 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 30 matches
Spaeri Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
7 Wins 11
10 Draws 10
9 Losses 9
37 Goals For 46
36 Goals Against 44
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
17 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Dinamo Tbilisi's more proactive style and Spaeri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dinamo Tbilisi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Spaeri Analysis

So far, Spaeri have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 19 matches. The record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 25:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 31 points after 19 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a 31:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Spaeri won 0 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Spaeri's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Spaeri 4-2-3-1 / Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2
H2H summary: Spaeri wins 0, draws 1, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 3

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 7 6 32:21 11 46
W D L D W
2 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
3 25 11 9 5 40:27 13 42
W D D W L
4 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 26 9 9 8 41:31 10 36
W D D L D
7 26 9 5 12 36:49 -13 32
L L L D W
8 26 6 10 10 24:36 -12 28
L D L W L
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 26 2 10 14 19:43 -24 16
L D D W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2