ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
26.09.2026 14:00
Roots Hall

Southend vs Barrow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Southend Win 79.1%
Draw 4.4%
Barrow Win 16.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southend1.75
Barrow1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southend Southend
WWDLW
31 GF / 19 GA
Barrow Barrow
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
12
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southend Southend 14 matches
Barrow Barrow 14 matches
Southend Statistic Barrow
7 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 4
31 Goals For 20
19 Goals Against 15
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
12 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
9 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 6
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Southend's more proactive style and Barrow's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barrow having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barrow. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Southend arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 17 points compared to Barrow in 21 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Southend Analysis

Placed 3 with 17 points from 8 outings, Southend continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Barrow Analysis

Barrow sit 21 with 6 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Southend won 2 times, Barrow won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Southend's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: Southend wins 2, draws 0, Barrow wins 0

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 23:11 12 23
W W D W W
2 9 6 2 1 23:12 11 20
W W D W D
3 9 5 3 1 13:7 6 18
D W W W D
4 9 5 2 2 20:13 7 17
L W W D W
5 9 5 1 3 20:16 4 16
L L W W W
6 9 5 1 3 10:10 0 16
D W L L L
7 9 4 3 2 18:14 4 15
W D L L W
8 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
L D W W D
9 9 5 0 4 11:12 -1 15
W L L L W
10 9 5 0 4 12:15 -3 15
W W L W W
11 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 14
W W D D L
12 9 4 2 3 11:10 1 14
W L D L D
13 9 4 1 4 14:11 3 13
D W W L W
14 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
L D W W L
15 9 3 2 4 13:13 0 11
W D L D L
16 9 2 4 3 16:14 2 10
L D D L W
17 9 2 3 4 11:12 -1 9
W L D W D
18 9 2 3 4 10:12 -2 9
D D W L D
19 9 3 0 6 7:11 -4 9
L L L W L
20 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L W L W
21 9 2 2 5 16:23 -7 8
W L L D L
22 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
L L W L L
23 9 1 1 7 9:23 -14 4
L W L D L
24 9 1 1 7 6:20 -14 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation