South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
South Melbourne Win 0%
Draw 0%
Dandenong Thunder Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
South Melbourne1.18
Dandenong Thunder2.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
South Melbourne
WWDLW
20 GF / 31 GA
Dandenong Thunder
WLDWL
40 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
8
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
South Melbourne
18 matches
Dandenong Thunder
18 matches
| South Melbourne | Statistic | Dandenong Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 11 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 9 | Losses | 4 |
| 20 | Goals For | 40 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.22 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, South Melbourne won 8 times, Dandenong Thunder won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from South Melbourne's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
H2H summary: South Melbourne wins 8, draws 2, Dandenong Thunder wins 4
Standings
Victoria NPL 2025
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 66:27 | 39 | 61 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:25 | 30 | 57 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Dandenong Thunder
Away
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 60:32 | 28 | 53 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:28 | 12 | 47 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 51:38 | 13 | 40 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 38 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 31 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
South Melbourne
Home
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 28 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 10 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28:38 | -10 | 27 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 27 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 36:60 | -24 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:64 | -40 | 17 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 28:72 | -44 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation