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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
11.10.2026 00:30
Q2 Stadium
Referee: Ismail Elfath
Austin
Match Timeline
Nashville SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
Reed Baker-Whiting
Nashville SC
🟨
37'
Guilherme Biro
Austin
🔄
45'
Jon Bell ↔ Brendan Hines-Ike
Austin
🔄
60'
Myrto Uzuni ↔ Christian Ramirez
Austin
🔄
61'
Jorge Alastuey ↔ Besard Sabovic
Austin
⚽
67'
Elias Saad
Nashville SC
🔄
69'
Elias Saad ↔ Shakur Mohammed
Nashville SC
🔄
69'
Mikkel Desler ↔ Przemyslaw Płacheta
Austin
🔄
76'
Patrick Yazbek ↔ Edvard Sandvik Tagseth
Nashville SC
🔄
76'
Andy Najar ↔ Daniel Lovitz
Nashville SC
⚽
76'
Brandon Vazquez · Assist: Facundo Daniel Torres Perez
Austin
🟨
78'
Shakur Mohammed
Nashville SC
🟨
83'
Brian Schwake
Nashville SC
⚽
88'
Shakur Mohammed
Nashville SC
🔄
89'
Cristian Espinoza ↔ josh bauer
Nashville SC
🔄
90'
matthew corcoran ↔ Bryan Acosta
Nashville SC
⚽
90+1'
Hany Mukhtar · Assist: Shakur Mohammed
Nashville SC

Austin vs Nashville SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.94
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.7%
1.94 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
6.75 ▥
Probability Distribution
Austin Win 22.2%
Draw 18.1%
Nashville SC Win 59.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Austin1.02
Nashville SC1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Austin Austin
WWDLW
42 GF / 55 GA
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WLDWL
71 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
19
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
20
3.96
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Austin Austin 35 matches
Nashville SC Nashville SC 39 matches
Austin Statistic Nashville SC
9 Wins 23
12 Draws 10
14 Losses 6
42 Goals For 71
55 Goals Against 29
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
19 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 20
11 Over 3.5 14
8 Clean Sheets 19
11 Failed To Score 9
3.96 Shots On Goal 4.57
10.52 Total Shots 12.14
4.44 Corners 5.2
48.8% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Nashville SC's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nashville SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 60 points while Austin sit 13 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nashville SC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nashville SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Austin Analysis

Austin are currently 13 in the standings with 31 points from 27 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 35:47 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Ramirez (8 goals), F. Torres (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (3 assists), Joseph Rosales (3 assists), Ervin Torres (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nashville SC Analysis

Nashville SC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 60 points after 27 matches. The record of 18 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 55:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Mukhtar (8 goals), S. Surridge (7 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), with creative support from C. Espinoza (7 assists), H. Mukhtar (5 assists), A. Najar (4 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Austin won 2 times, Nashville SC won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Austin's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: Austin 3-4-3 / Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Austin 2, Nashville SC 0
H2H summary: Austin wins 2, draws 1, Nashville SC wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)