BRAZIL SERIE A
11.10.2026 00:00
Morumbi

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vitoria Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.31
Vitoria1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WWDLW
32 GF / 30 GA
Vitoria Vitoria
WLDWL
28 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
15
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
11
4.07
Shots on Goal
4.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 matches
Vitoria Vitoria 28 matches
Sao Paulo Statistic Vitoria
10 Wins 9
6 Draws 6
11 Losses 13
32 Goals For 28
30 Goals Against 42
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
15 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 9
4.07 Shots On Goal 4.18
12.89 Total Shots 12
6.56 Corners 4.57
53.5% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 11 times, Vitoria won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:15 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1 / Vitoria 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 11, draws 0, Vitoria wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B