Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vitoria Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.32
Vitoria1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo
WWDLW
23 GF / 20 GA
Vitoria
WLDWL
22 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.28
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
18 matches
Vitoria
18 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 4.28 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 11.17 |
| 6.56 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 45.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 11 times, Vitoria won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:15 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / Vitoria 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 11, draws 0, Vitoria wins 4
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
Last matches: Vitoria
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
11.04.26
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
07.12.25
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
1
3
W
26.10.18
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
0
1
W
13.06.18
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
0
W
17.09.17
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
08.06.17
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
W
25.09.16
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
15.06.16
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
W
09.11.14
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
10.08.14
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
1
W
06.10.13
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
2
W
14.07.13
H2H
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
3
2
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
09.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
1
W
13.06.18
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
0
W
08.06.17
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
W
15.06.16
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
W
10.08.14
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
1
W
06.10.13
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
2
W
Last matches: Vitoria
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
H2H away: Vitoria
09.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
1
L
13.06.18
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
0
L
08.06.17
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
L
15.06.16
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
2
0
L
10.08.14
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
1
L
06.10.13
H2H
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
3
2
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Vitoria
Away
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B