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11.10.2026 00:30
Estadio Monumental
Referee: N. Arasa
River Plate
Match Timeline
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Fernando Rodríguez
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
⚽
6'
M. Acuna
River Plate
🟨
16'
Alejandro Martín Cabrera
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
46'
F. Rodriguez ↔ M. Valenti
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
46'
M. Valiente ↔ M. Garnerone
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
46'
I. Hesar ↔ Y. Moreno
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
68'
L. Pereyra ↔ T. Almada
River Plate
🔄
71'
S. Driussi ↔ R. Borre
River Plate
🔄
80'
T. Gonzalez ↔ S. Rosane
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
80'
J. Antonini ↔ M. Bajamich
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
🔄
89'
T. Galvan ↔ F. Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
89'
M. Acuna ↔ J. Meza
River Plate

River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.4%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds 3.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.4%
1.20 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.4%
3.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.34 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
River Plate Win 85.4%
Draw 5.9%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
River Plate1.37
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
River Plate River Plate
WWDLW
46 GF / 33 GA
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
WLDWL
11 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
0.39
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
14
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
9
5.27
Shots on Goal
2.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

River Plate River Plate 34 matches
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 28 matches
River Plate Statistic Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
17 Wins 2
5 Draws 6
12 Losses 20
46 Goals For 11
33 Goals Against 39
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 0.39
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
14 BTTS Yes 8
21 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 1
12 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 18
5.27 Shots On Goal 2.37
16.17 Total Shots 10.52
5.27 Corners 4.48
65.1% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by River Plate's more proactive style and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. River Plate arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 29 points compared to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in 15 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with River Plate expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto having the stronger overall control.

River Plate Analysis

River Plate come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 16 matches. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Tomás Galván (4 goals), Facundo Colidio (4 goals), Gonzalo Montiel (3 goals), with creative support from Tomás Galván (2 assists), Facundo Colidio (2 assists), Ángel Correa (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Analysis

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15 with 5 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 5:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Valiente (2 goals), G. Alanís (1 goals), S. Ojeda (1 goals), with creative support from G. Alanís (1 assists), M. Valenti (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, River Plate won 1 times, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from River Plate's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: River Plate 4-2-3-1 / Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: River Plate wins 1, draws 0, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto wins 0

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L D W W L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
D W L W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D W L D D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W D D D D
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L L W W W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L W W L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L D W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W D D D L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D L L L W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L W L W
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L L
Knockout Phase