IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
16.05.2026 18:45
Showgrounds
Sligo Rovers
Match Timeline
Galway United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
W. Williams · Assist: J. Keohane
Galway United
🔄
13'
A. Meekison ↔ A. Nolan
Sligo Rovers
🟨
16'
Jimmy Keohane
Galway United
⚽
18'
A. Nolan
Sligo Rovers
🟨
28'
James McManus
Sligo Rovers
⚽
29'
J. Keohane
Galway United
🟨
44'
Connor Barratt
Galway United
🔄
46'
C. Barratt ↔ A. Piesold
Galway United
🔄
56'
F. Pierrot ↔ L. Devitt
Galway United
🔄
63'
S. Walsh ↔ F. Lomboto
Galway United
🔄
64'
D. Patton ↔ R. O'Kane
Sligo Rovers
🔄
64'
C. McCormack ↔ K. Twardek
Galway United
🔄
65'
C. McHugh ↔ M. Traore
Sligo Rovers
🟨
72'
Lee Devitt
Galway United
🟨
73'
Kristopher Twardek
Galway United
⚽
73'
K. Twardek
Galway United
⚽
74'
F. Lomboto · Assist: K. Twardek
Galway United
🔄
85'
J. McManus ↔ C. Harkin
Sligo Rovers
🔄
85'
J. Esua ↔ S. Blaney
Sligo Rovers
🔄
90'
D. Hurley ↔ J. Morahan
Galway United

Sligo Rovers vs Galway United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sligo Rovers Win 51.8%
Draw 13.5%
Galway United Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sligo Rovers1.34
Galway United1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
Galway United Galway United
WLDWL
22 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
7
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
9
2.5
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 22 matches
Galway United Galway United 18 matches
Sligo Rovers Statistic Galway United
8 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
23 Goals For 22
23 Goals Against 32
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
7 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 2
10 Failed To Score 5
2.5 Shots On Goal 3.67
10 Total Shots 11.87
3.63 Corners 4.47
47.4% Ball Possession 39.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Galway United. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sligo Rovers expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Galway United in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Galway United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

Sligo Rovers sit 9 with 16 points after 16 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 11:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), A. Nolan (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (2 assists), J. Redmond (2 assists), Archie Meekison (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Galway United Analysis

Galway United are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 15 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Twardek (5 goals), Aaron Bolger (2 goals), D. Hurley (2 goals), with creative support from D. Hurley (4 assists), K. Twardek (3 assists), Stephen Walsh (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sligo Rovers won 6 times, Galway United won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Sligo Rovers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.5%)
Predicted formations: Sligo Rovers 3-4-1-2 / Galway United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sligo Rovers wins 6, draws 5, Galway United wins 4

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 31 9 12 10 41:44 -3 39
W L L D D
7 31 9 10 12 41:47 -6 37
L W L D W
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation