FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
OmaSp Stadion
Referee: A. Munukka
SJK
Match Timeline
AC Oulu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
J. Korkko · Assist: L. Ghezali
AC Oulu
🔄
56'
L. Ghezali ↔ K. Jatta
AC Oulu
🔄
59'
M. Suso ↔ E. Mastokangas
SJK
🔄
59'
O. Tessilimi ↔ Mani
SJK
🔄
71'
I. Mendolin ↔ J. Makelainen
AC Oulu
🔄
71'
E. Kallio ↔ M. Ojala
AC Oulu
🔄
73'
K. Paananen ↔ S. Yakubu
SJK
🔄
73'
S. Yussif ↔ D. Bulgakov
SJK
🔄
83'
R. Karjalainen ↔ N. Jokelainen
AC Oulu
🔄
83'
M. Pitkanen ↔ A. Lietsa
AC Oulu
🔄
88'
J. Streng ↔ J. Kekarainen
SJK
🟨
90+10'
Kelvin Pires
SJK
🟨
90+7'
Juha Pirinen
AC Oulu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
SJK Win 32.5%
Draw 13.2%
AC Oulu Win 54.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
SJK1
AC Oulu1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
SJK SJK
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
2.14
Shots on Goal
1.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SJK SJK 12 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 10 matches
SJK Statistic AC Oulu
3 Wins 6
5 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
12 Goals For 17
14 Goals Against 10
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 1
2.14 Shots On Goal 1.63
5.43 Total Shots 5.88
2.29 Corners 2.25
22.3% Ball Possession 23.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AC Oulu's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AC Oulu. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SJK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AC Oulu in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AC Oulu having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AC Oulu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. AC Oulu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 15 points while SJK sit 10 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

SJK Analysis

SJK sit 10 with 6 points after 7 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 6:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Streng (2 goals), E. Mastokangas (1 goals), K. Paananen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Mastokangas (2 assists), K. Paananen (1 assists), Armaan Wilson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu sit 2 with 15 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 13:7 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Karjalainen (6 goals), J. Korkko (3 goals), E. Kallio (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kallio (2 assists), R. Karjalainen (1 assists), L. Ghezali (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, SJK won 5 times, AC Oulu won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:26 from SJK's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: SJK 4-2-3-1 / AC Oulu 4-4-2
H2H summary: SJK wins 5, draws 3, AC Oulu wins 7

Lineups

SJK
Formation
AC Oulu
J. Viitala
J. Viitala
S. Yussif
S. Yussif
K. Pires
K. Pires
S. Chukwudi
S. Chukwudi
A. Wilson
A. Wilson
M. Arsalo
M. Arsalo
A. Bostrom
A. Bostrom
O. Tessilimi
O. Tessilimi
K. Paananen
K. Paananen
M. Suso
M. Suso
J. Streng
J. Streng
M. Santos
M. Santos
O. Kemppainen
O. Kemppainen
M. Pitkanen
M. Pitkanen
J. Pirinen
J. Pirinen
S. Silander
S. Silander
I. Mendolin
I. Mendolin
J. Paananen
J. Paananen
E. Kallio
E. Kallio
L. Ghezali
🎯
L. Ghezali
R. Karjalainen
R. Karjalainen
J. Korkko
J. Korkko
SJK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
35
J. Viitala
G
6
S. Yussif
↓ 73'
D
4
K. Pires
🟨 90+10'
D
28
S. Chukwudi
D
23
A. Wilson
M
18
M. Arsalo
M
8
A. Bostrom
M
17
O. Tessilimi
↓ 59'
F
10
K. Paananen
↓ 73'
M
47
M. Suso
↓ 59'
M
9
J. Streng
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
60
S. James
G
19
E. Mastokangas
↑ 59'
M
37
Mani
↑ 59'
M
32
S. Yakubu
↑ 73'
D
20
J. Kekarainen
↑ 88'
M
26
J. Moisio
D
5
O. Vaisto
D
21
D. Bulgakov
↑ 73'
M
42
Caio Araujo
AC Oulu 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
M. Santos
G
16
O. Kemppainen
D
5
M. Pitkanen
↓ 83'
D
66
J. Pirinen
🟨 90+7'
D
29
S. Silander
D
21
I. Mendolin
↓ 71'
M
6
J. Paananen
M
27
E. Kallio
↓ 71'
M
11
L. Ghezali
🎯 35' ↓ 56'
M
7
R. Karjalainen
↓ 83'
M
26
J. Korkko
⚽ 35'
F
Substitutes
99
N. Schulz
G
14
N. Jokelainen
↑ 83'
M
30
J. Makelainen
↑ 71'
M
8
M. Ojala
↑ 71'
M
2
S. Sipola
D
3
A. Lietsa
↑ 83'
D
18
A. Cassama
D
20
K. Jatta
↑ 56'
F
32
A. Kone
M
Last matches: SJK
13.06.26
Vei
SJK
Lahti
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vei
SJK
Gnistan
2
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
SJK
Turku PS
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fri
SJK
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK
Gnistan
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
17.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
0
2
L
10.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
1
2
L
Last matches: AC Oulu
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
31.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
2
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Turku PS
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
0
W
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
VPS
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
AC Oulu
JIPPO
1
1
D
H2H: SJK vs AC Oulu
23.05.26
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
31.01.26
H2H
AC Oulu
SJK
3
0
L
24.06.25
H2H
AC Oulu
SJK
2
0
L
31.05.25
H2H
AC Oulu
SJK
2
2
D
23.04.25
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
3
1
W
26.02.25
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
1
D
08.07.24
H2H
AC Oulu
SJK
1
2
W
03.07.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
1
W
03.02.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
0
2
L
25.10.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
2
D
27.06.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
4
L
17.05.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
4
L
29.04.23
H2H
AC Oulu
SJK
0
3
W
18.02.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
2
L
Last matches: SJK
16.05.26
Vei
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vei
SJK
Ilves
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
SJK
FF Jaro
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
SJK
Mariehamn
3
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
SJK
KuPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
SJK
FF Jaro
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
SJK
Turku PS
1
1
D
10.07.25
UEF
SJK
KI Klaksvik
1
2
L
H2H at home: SJK
23.05.26
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
L
23.04.25
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
3
1
W
26.02.25
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
1
D
03.07.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
0
W
06.04.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
1
W
03.02.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
0
2
L
25.10.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
2
D
27.06.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
4
L
17.05.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
4
L
18.02.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
2
L
Last matches: AC Oulu
13.06.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
0
0
D
08.05.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Ilves
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Lahti
1
2
L
22.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
KuPS
2
3
L
11.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
AC Oulu
Gnistan
5
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
3
2
W
H2H away: AC Oulu
23.05.26
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
0
1
W
23.04.25
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
3
1
L
26.02.25
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
1
D
03.07.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
0
L
06.04.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
1
L
03.02.24
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
0
2
W
25.10.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
2
2
D
27.06.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
4
W
17.05.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
4
W
18.02.23
H2H
SJK
AC Oulu
1
2
W

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 7 4 1 17:8 9 25
D D W W W
2 11 7 1 3 16:8 8 22
D W W W L
3 12 5 6 1 17:11 6 21
D D W W D
4 11 5 3 3 18:10 8 18
W W L D L
5 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
L W L L W
6 10 4 2 4 16:15 1 14
W W L W D
7 10 3 5 2 9:8 1 14
D L W D D
8 11 3 3 5 14:21 -7 12
W L W L D
9 10 3 2 5 14:13 1 11
L W L D D
10
SJK Home
10 2 3 5 11:16 -5 9
W L L L D
11 11 1 4 6 10:22 -12 7
L L W L L
12 10 0 4 6 5:17 -12 4
L L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)