IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tolka Park
Referee: O. Moran
Shelbourne
Match Timeline
Sligo Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
J. Henry-Francis ↔ A. Coote
Shelbourne
🟨
49'
Evan Caffrey
Shelbourne
🟨
61'
Gareth McElroy
Sligo Rovers
🔄
63'
C. McHugh ↔ S. Blaney
Sligo Rovers
🔄
64'
W. Jarvis ↔ M. Lundgren
Shelbourne
🔄
64'
J. Martin ↔ S. Boyd
Shelbourne
🔄
72'
S. Stewart ↔ K. McDonagh
Sligo Rovers
🔄
77'
E. Caffrey ↔ S. Moore
Shelbourne
🔄
77'
K. McInroy ↔ E. Chapman
Shelbourne
🔄
90'
A. Meekison ↔ A. Nolan
Sligo Rovers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 45.1%
Draw 29.4%
Sligo Rovers Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.57
Sligo Rovers1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WWDLW
34 GF / 28 GA
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WLDWL
23 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
15
BTTS Yes
7
14
Over 2.5
8
4.14
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shelbourne Shelbourne 18 matches
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 21 matches
Shelbourne Statistic Sligo Rovers
7 Wins 8
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 10
34 Goals For 23
28 Goals Against 23
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
15 BTTS Yes 7
16 Over 1.5 12
14 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 9
4.14 Shots On Goal 2.6
13.43 Total Shots 10.2
5.14 Corners 3.67
53.2% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Shelbourne have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sligo Rovers. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Sligo Rovers in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sligo Rovers having the stronger overall control.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 17 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 23:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Wood (6 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (3 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), H. Wood (2 assists), A. Coote (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Sligo Rovers have collected 15 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 11:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), A. Nolan (1 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (2 assists), J. Redmond (2 assists), Archie Meekison (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 9 times, Sligo Rovers won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from Shelbourne's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.5%)
Predicted formations: Shelbourne 3-5-2 / Sligo Rovers 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 9, draws 4, Sligo Rovers wins 2
Stats
Shelbourne Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
3
15 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 3
2 Offsides 2
68% Ball Possession 32%
28 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 3
9 Blocked Shots 3
17 Shots insidebox 6
11 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
611 Total passes 281
515 Passes accurate 178
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shelbourne
Formation
Sligo Rovers
W. Speel
W. Speel
S. Bone
S. Bone
P. Barrett
P. Barrett
K. Ledwidge
K. Ledwidge
E. Caffrey
E. Caffrey
J. Henry-Francis
J. Henry-Francis
J. Lunney
J. Lunney
K. McInroy
K. McInroy
W. Jarvis
W. Jarvis
J. Martin
J. Martin
H. Wood
H. Wood
S. Sargeant
S. Sargeant
O. Denham
O. Denham
G. McElroy
G. McElroy
S. McHale
S. McHale
W. Fitzgerald
W. Fitzgerald
J. McManus
J. McManus
C. McHugh
C. McHugh
S. Stewart
S. Stewart
A. Meekison
A. Meekison
D. Patton
D. Patton
C. Kavanagh
C. Kavanagh
Shelbourne 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
W. Speel
G
15
S. Bone
D
29
P. Barrett
D
4
K. Ledwidge
D
27
E. Caffrey
↓ 77' 🟨 49'
M
21
J. Henry-Francis
↓ 23'
M
6
J. Lunney
M
23
K. McInroy
↓ 77'
M
36
W. Jarvis
↓ 64'
M
10
J. Martin
↓ 64'
F
7
H. Wood
F
Substitutes
31
C. Walsh
G
14
A. Coote
↑ 23'
M
22
S. Moore
↑ 77'
D
28
M. Lundgren
↑ 64'
M
55
J. Roche
D
2
S. Gannon
D
9
S. Boyd
↑ 64'
F
5
E. Chapman
↑ 77'
M
24
Z. Ibsen Rossi
D
Sligo Rovers 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
29
S. Sargeant
G
15
O. Denham
D
52
G. McElroy
🟨 61'
D
17
S. McHale
D
7
W. Fitzgerald
M
14
J. McManus
M
16
C. McHugh
↓ 63'
M
3
S. Stewart
↓ 72'
M
10
A. Meekison
↓ 90'
F
71
D. Patton
F
11
C. Kavanagh
F
Substitutes
1
L. Hughes
G
6
C. Harkin
M
33
J. Esua
D
24
M. Traore
F
63
G. Priosti
M
61
C. Cannon
5
S. Blaney
↑ 63'
D
19
A. Nolan
↑ 90'
M
23
K. McDonagh
↑ 72'
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
14.07.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Coleraine FC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
27.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
19.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
1
3
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
2
1
W
H2H: Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
27.06.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
2
D
08.05.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
21.03.26
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
W
17.10.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
02.08.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
2
W
23.05.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
28.03.25
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
W
27.09.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
10.08.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
2
1
L
31.05.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
01.03.24
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
1
W
09.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
0
3
W
10.04.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
2
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Longford Town
4
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Drita
0
1
L
02.10.25
UEF
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
3
1
W
12.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
H2H at home: Shelbourne
08.05.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
17.10.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
23.05.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
27.09.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
31.05.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
09.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
10.04.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
Last matches: Sligo Rovers
11.07.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
2
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
4
L
22.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Galway United
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Treaty United
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Sligo Rovers
Finn Harps
0
1
L
H2H away: Sligo Rovers
08.05.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
17.10.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
1
L
23.05.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
3
2
L
27.09.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
31.05.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
2
W
09.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
1
D
10.04.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1