IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tolka Park
Referee: P. McLaughlin
Shelbourne
Match Timeline
Galway United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Evan Caffrey
Shelbourne
57'
H. Wood · Assist: J. Martin
Shelbourne
🟨
59'
Lee Devitt
Galway United
🔄
61'
W. Jarvis ↔ D. Kelly
Shelbourne
🔄
64'
M. Wolfe ↔ W. Williams
Galway United
🔄
64'
E. McCarthy ↔ F. Pierrot
Galway United
🔄
64'
K. Twardek ↔ A. Piesold
Galway United
65'
F. Pierrot
Galway United
🔄
73'
J. Martin ↔ S. Boyd
Shelbourne
🔄
73'
A. Coote ↔ M. Odubeko
Shelbourne
🟨
75'
Paddy Barrett
Shelbourne
🔄
86'
M. Mbeng ↔ M. Lundgren
Shelbourne
🔄
86'
D. Hurley ↔ C. McCormack
Galway United
🔄
86'
A. Bolger ↔ A. Kazeem
Galway United
🟨
90+4'
Gianfranco Facchineri
Galway United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 22.2%
Draw 9.7%
Galway United Win 68.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.75
Galway United1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WWDLW
37 GF / 29 GA
Galway United Galway United
WLDWL
28 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
16
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
11
4.28
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shelbourne Shelbourne 22 matches
Galway United Galway United 20 matches
Shelbourne Statistic Galway United
9 Wins 6
8 Draws 5
5 Losses 9
37 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 37
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
16 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
4.28 Shots On Goal 3.88
13.83 Total Shots 12.24
5.44 Corners 4.59
52.7% Ball Possession 39%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Galway United. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Galway United in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Galway United having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 21 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 24:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Wood (6 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), H. Wood (2 assists), A. Coote (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Galway United Analysis

So far, Galway United have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 20 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 23:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Twardek (6 goals), Aaron Bolger (2 goals), D. Hurley (2 goals), with creative support from K. Twardek (4 assists), D. Hurley (4 assists), J. Keohane (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 4 times, Galway United won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Shelbourne's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Shelbourne 3-5-2 / Galway United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 4, draws 8, Galway United wins 3
Stats
Shelbourne Shelbourne
Galway United Galway United
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 4
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 6
7 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 8
8 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
560 Total passes 310
460 Passes accurate 210
2.80 expected_goals 1.78
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shelbourne
Formation
Galway United
W. Speel
W. Speel
M. Mbeng
M. Mbeng
S. Bone
S. Bone
P. Barrett
P. Barrett
K. Ledwidge
K. Ledwidge
E. Chapman
E. Chapman
E. Caffrey
E. Caffrey
A. Coote
A. Coote
H. Wood
H. Wood
W. Jarvis
W. Jarvis
J. Martin
🎯
J. Martin
E. Watts
E. Watts
J. Keohane
J. Keohane
G. Facchineri
G. Facchineri
K. Brouder
K. Brouder
L. Devitt
L. Devitt
M. Wolfe
M. Wolfe
A. Bolger
A. Bolger
K. Twardek
K. Twardek
D. Hurley
D. Hurley
E. McCarthy
E. McCarthy
S. Walsh
S. Walsh
Shelbourne 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
W. Speel
G
25
M. Mbeng
↓ 86'
D
15
S. Bone
D
29
P. Barrett
🟨 75'
D
4
K. Ledwidge
D
5
E. Chapman
M
27
E. Caffrey
🟨 17'
M
14
A. Coote
↓ 73'
M
7
H. Wood
⚽ 57'
M
36
W. Jarvis
↓ 61'
M
10
J. Martin
🎯 57' ↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
31
C. Walsh
G
17
D. Kelly
↑ 61'
M
22
S. Moore
D
28
M. Lundgren
↑ 86'
M
55
J. Roche
D
9
S. Boyd
↑ 73'
F
11
M. Odubeko
↑ 73'
F
20
R. Freitas
F
24
Z. Ibsen Rossi
D
Galway United 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Watts
G
4
J. Keohane
D
12
G. Facchineri
🟨 90+4'
D
5
K. Brouder
D
20
L. Devitt
🟨 59'
D
14
M. Wolfe
↓ 64'
M
8
A. Bolger
↓ 86'
M
11
K. Twardek
↓ 64'
M
10
D. Hurley
↓ 86'
M
24
E. McCarthy
↓ 64'
M
7
S. Walsh
F
Substitutes
16
H. Cunha
G
22
C. McCormack
↑ 86'
M
15
W. Williams
↑ 64'
D
23
F. Pierrot
⚽ 65' ↑ 64'
3
C. Barratt
D
30
A. Kazeem
↑ 86'
D
6
A. Piesold
↑ 64'
M
29
N. Fleuriau Chateau
F
28
J. Morahan
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
Last matches: Galway United
11.07.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
3
2
W
03.07.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
0
1
L
22.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
2
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
04.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
4
3
W
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
H2H: Shelbourne vs Galway United
29.05.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
20.02.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
07.09.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
0
W
27.06.25
H2H
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
21.04.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
2
2
D
03.03.25
H2H
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
20.09.24
H2H
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
0
L
16.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
28.06.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
2
0
W
19.04.24
H2H
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
0
L
04.03.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
0
W
10.02.23
H2H
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
10.02.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
13.08.21
H2H
Galway United
Shelbourne
3
1
L
28.05.21
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
4
0
W
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
2
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Longford Town
4
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Drita
0
1
L
02.10.25
UEF
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
3
1
W
12.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
H2H at home: Shelbourne
29.05.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
20.02.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
07.09.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
0
W
21.04.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
2
2
D
16.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
28.06.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
2
0
W
04.03.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
0
W
10.02.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
28.05.21
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
4
0
W
Last matches: Galway United
03.07.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
3
L
26.06.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
4
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Galway United
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Waterford
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Dundalk
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Galway United
Drogheda United
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Galway United
Bohemians
0
1
L
02.03.26
Pre
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Galway United
Shelbourne
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Cork City
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
0
6
L
H2H away: Galway United
29.05.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
20.02.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
07.09.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
0
L
21.04.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
2
2
D
16.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
28.06.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
2
0
L
04.03.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
0
L
10.02.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
28.05.21
H2H
Shelbourne
Galway United
4
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1