Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- |
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shelbourne
15 matches
Drogheda United
14 matches
| Shelbourne | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 27 | Goals For | 17 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 3.73 |
| 13.18 | Total Shots | 10.18 |
| 5.27 | Corners | 4 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 40.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Drogheda United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Drogheda United in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Drogheda United having the stronger overall control. Shelbourne have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Shelbourne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 13 points from 11 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 15:15, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through J. Martin (5 goals), H. Wood (4 goals), Daniel Kelly (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), J. Martin (1 assists), Daniel Kelly (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Drogheda United sit 9 with 10 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 11:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Doyle (4 goals), B. Kavanagh (2 goals), Conor Keeley (2 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (1 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), A. Quinn (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 5 times, Drogheda United won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Shelbourne's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Shelbourne
7
5
7
1
3
4
Lineups
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
Celtic
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Derry City
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
Celtic
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
Shelbourne
Drita
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
Shelbourne
Linfield
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Shelbourne
Home
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|