Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shakhtar Donetsk
43 matches
Crystal Palace
48 matches
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Statistic | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 18 |
| 12 | Draws | 14 |
| 3 | Losses | 16 |
| 93 | Goals For | 58 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 2.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 25 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.98 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 10.08 | Total Shots | 13.17 |
| 3.68 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 41.1% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Crystal Palace in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crystal Palace having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Crystal Palace. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Shakhtar Donetsk enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 6 matches, placing them 6 in their league. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 10:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Alisson (3 goals), Kaua Elias (3 goals), Luca Meirelles (3 goals), with creative support from Kaua Elias (3 assists), Marlon Gomes (3 assists), Pedrinho (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Crystal Palace come into this tie placed 10 in their league with 10 points from 6 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:6, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on I. Sarr (7 goals), C. Uche (2 goals), E. Nketiah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Kamada (3 assists), J. Mateta (2 assists), Y. Pino (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 times, Crystal Palace won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
7
5
2
9
1
Lineups
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Brentford
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Everton
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
Wolves
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dinamo Tbilisi
Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Breidablik
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Legia Warszawa
Crystal Palace
Brentford
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Macclesfield
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Crystal Palace
Strasbourg
Crystal Palace
Wolves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Crystal Palace
Away
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 30 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | -7 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 35 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|