WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Referee: F. Zwayer
Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Timeline
Crystal Palace
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
I. Sarr · Assist: J. Mateta
Crystal Palace
🟨
31'
Oleg Ocheretko
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
38'
Vinícius Tobias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
44'
Yéremy Pino
Crystal Palace
47'
O. Ocheretko · Assist: Kaua Elias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
52'
Pedro Henrique
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
56'
Jaydee Canvot
Crystal Palace
58'
D. Kamada · Assist: M. Lacroix
Crystal Palace
🔄
65'
Marlon Gomes ↔ Isaque Silva
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
65'
J. Mateta ↔ J. S. Larsen
Crystal Palace
🔄
74'
Eguinaldo ↔ Newerton
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
74'
Pedrinho ↔ A. Bondarenko
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
74'
Y. Pino ↔ B. Johnson
Crystal Palace
🔄
83'
Kaua Elias ↔ L. Traore
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
83'
O. Ocheretko ↔ Y. Nazaryna
Shakhtar Donetsk
84'
J. S. Larsen · Assist: D. Kamada
Crystal Palace
🔄
90'
D. Kamada ↔ J. Lerma
Crystal Palace

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 66.8%
Draw 4%
Crystal Palace Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhtar Donetsk1.72
Crystal Palace1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WWDLW
93 GF / 30 GA
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WLDWL
58 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
2.16
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
18
BTTS Yes
24
24
Over 2.5
24
3.98
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 43 matches
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 48 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Statistic Crystal Palace
28 Wins 18
12 Draws 14
3 Losses 16
93 Goals For 58
30 Goals Against 51
2.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
18 BTTS Yes 24
31 Over 1.5 33
24 Over 2.5 24
16 Over 3.5 8
25 Clean Sheets 19
6 Failed To Score 13
3.98 Shots On Goal 4.19
10.08 Total Shots 13.17
3.68 Corners 4.6
41.1% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Crystal Palace in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crystal Palace having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Crystal Palace. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 6 matches, placing them 6 in their league. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 10:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Alisson (3 goals), Kaua Elias (3 goals), Luca Meirelles (3 goals), with creative support from Kaua Elias (3 assists), Marlon Gomes (3 assists), Pedrinho (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Crystal Palace Analysis

Crystal Palace come into this tie placed 10 in their league with 10 points from 6 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 11:6, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on I. Sarr (7 goals), C. Uche (2 goals), E. Nketiah (2 goals), with creative support from D. Kamada (3 assists), J. Mateta (2 assists), Y. Pino (2 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 0 times, Crystal Palace won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1 / Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Shakhtar Donetsk wins 0, draws 0, Crystal Palace wins 2
Stats
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
1
13 Corner Kicks 1
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 2
9 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
517 Total passes 217
472 Passes accurate 158
1.06 expected_goals 2.31
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shakhtar Donetsk
Formation
Crystal Palace
D. Riznyk
D. Riznyk
V. Tobias
V. Tobias
V. Bondar
V. Bondar
M. Matviienko
M. Matviienko
P. Henrique
P. Henrique
O. Ocheretko
O. Ocheretko
Alisson
Alisson
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
Marlon Gomes
Marlon Gomes
Eguinaldo
Eguinaldo
Kaua Elias
🎯
Kaua Elias
D. Henderson
D. Henderson
C. Richards
C. Richards
M. Lacroix
🎯
M. Lacroix
J. Canvot
J. Canvot
D. Munoz
D. Munoz
A. Wharton
A. Wharton
D. Kamada
🎯
D. Kamada
T. Mitchell
T. Mitchell
I. Sarr
I. Sarr
J. Mateta
🎯
J. Mateta
Y. Pino
Y. Pino
Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
D. Riznyk
G
17
V. Tobias
🟨 38'
D
5
V. Bondar
D
22
M. Matviienko
D
13
P. Henrique
🟨 52'
D
27
O. Ocheretko
⚽ 47' ↓ 83' 🟨 31'
M
30
Alisson
M
10
Pedrinho
↓ 74'
M
6
Marlon Gomes
↓ 65'
M
7
Eguinaldo
↓ 74'
M
19
Kaua Elias
🎯 47' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
48
D. Tvardovskyi
4
Marlon
D
2
L. Traore
↑ 83'
F
68
P. Obah
M
11
Newerton
↑ 74'
M
49
Luca Meirelles
F
14
Isaque Silva
↑ 65'
M
29
Y. Nazaryna
↑ 83'
M
21
A. Bondarenko
↑ 74'
M
16
I. Azarovi
D
18
A. Ghram
D
37
Lucas Ferreira
M
Crystal Palace 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Henderson
G
26
C. Richards
D
5
M. Lacroix
🎯 58'
D
23
J. Canvot
🟨 56'
D
2
D. Munoz
M
20
A. Wharton
M
18
D. Kamada
⚽ 58' 🎯 84' ↓ 90'
M
3
T. Mitchell
M
7
I. Sarr
⚽ 1'
F
14
J. Mateta
🎯 1' ↓ 65'
F
10
Y. Pino
↓ 74' 🟨 44'
F
Substitutes
44
W. Benitez
G
31
R. Matthews
G
17
N. Clyne
D
19
W. Hughes
M
24
B. Sosa
D
22
J. S. Larsen
⚽ 84' ↑ 65'
F
11
B. Johnson
↑ 74'
F
8
J. Lerma
↑ 90'
M
55
J. Devenny
M
34
C. Riad
D
59
R. Cardines
M
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
21.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
3
2
W
13.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
07.05.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
09.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
3
0
W
Last matches: Crystal Palace
27.05.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brentford
2
2
D
13.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
0
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Everton
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
1
3
L
20.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
West Ham
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
2
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Leeds
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
05.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
2
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Wolves
1
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
1
1
D
H2H: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace
07.05.26
H2H
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
L
30.04.26
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
21.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dinamo Tbilisi
7
2
W
05.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga
2
1
W
03.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1
2
L
18.12.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
14.12.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
5
0
W
01.12.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
7
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Breidablik
2
0
W
02.11.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
3
1
W
26.10.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
4
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
H2H at home: Shakhtar Donetsk
30.04.26
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
Last matches: Crystal Palace
17.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brentford
2
2
D
13.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester City
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
1
3
L
16.04.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
05.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Crystal Palace
Macclesfield
1
2
L
04.01.26
Pre
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
0
2
L
20.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Leeds
1
4
L
11.12.25
UEF
Crystal Palace
Shelbourne
3
0
W
07.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Fulham
2
1
W
03.12.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Burnley
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
Crystal Palace
Strasbourg
1
2
L
22.11.25
Pre
Crystal Palace
Wolves
2
0
W
H2H away: Crystal Palace
30.04.26
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
W

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 11:5 6 16
W W W W D
2 6 4 2 0 9:2 7 14
W W W D D
3 6 4 1 1 14:7 7 13
W W W D W
4 6 4 1 1 10:3 7 13
W W W D L
5 6 4 1 1 13:7 6 13
W W L W D
6 6 4 1 1 10:5 5 13
D W W W L
7 6 4 1 1 7:3 4 13
W D L W W
8 6 3 3 0 7:1 6 12
W D D D W
9 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W D L D W
10 6 3 1 2 11:6 5 10
D W L W L
11 6 3 1 2 12:8 4 10
W D W L L
12 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
L L D W W
13 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
D L L W W
14 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
D W W L W
15 6 3 0 3 8:5 3 9
L W L L W
16 6 2 3 1 5:2 3 9
D W D D W
17 6 2 3 1 5:4 1 9
D L W D D
18 6 2 2 2 5:4 1 8
L W W D D
19 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
L W D L D
20 6 2 2 2 4:8 -4 8
L L W W D
21 6 1 4 1 6:5 1 7
D D L W D
22 6 2 1 3 4:5 -1 7
L W L D W
23 6 2 1 3 8:10 -2 7
D L W L L
24 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
L L W W D
25 6 2 1 3 6:8 -2 7
L L W W D
26 6 2 1 3 7:15 -8 7
L W L D W
27 6 2 0 4 9:9 0 6
W L L W L
28 6 2 0 4 8:8 0 6
W L L L W
29 6 2 0 4 5:9 -4 6
W L W L L
30 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
L W D L D
31 6 1 1 4 7:13 -6 4
W L L D L
32 6 0 3 3 5:8 -3 3
L D L L D
33 6 1 0 5 4:11 -7 3
L L W L L
34 6 0 2 4 0:7 -7 2
D L L L L
35 6 0 2 4 3:14 -11 2
L L D D L
36 6 0 1 5 3:14 -11 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)