SPAIN LA LIGA
15.08.2026 19:30
Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Sevilla
Match Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
A. Garcia
Rayo Vallecano
VAR
38'
Isaac Romero
Sevilla
🟨
45+3'
Isaac Romero
Sevilla
🔄
46'
N. Guilen ↔ Peque
Sevilla
🔄
46'
I. Romero ↔ R. Ure
Sevilla
52'
J. Guridi
Sevilla
🟨
60'
Jon Guridi
Sevilla
🔄
64'
I. Palazon ↔ S. Camello
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
65'
R. Nteka ↔ Alemao
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
67'
Álvaro García
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
70'
M. Sierra ↔ R. Vargas
Sevilla
🔄
70'
A. Garcia ↔ F. Perez
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
75'
Unai López
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
76'
Fran Pérez
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
78'
Oso ↔ C. Ejuke
Sevilla
🔄
78'
O. Valentin ↔ P. Fernandez
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
78'
U. Lopez ↔ P. Diaz
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
81'
Gabriel Suazo
Sevilla
🔄
82'
J. Guridi ↔ M. Bueno
Sevilla
🟥
88'
Kike Salas
Sevilla
🟨
90+12'
Lucien Agoumé
Sevilla
🟨
90+12'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Rayo Vallecano
90'
Peque
Sevilla

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sevilla Win 55.4%
Draw 8.3%
Rayo Vallecano Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sevilla1.5
Rayo Vallecano1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sevilla Sevilla
WWDLW
7 GF / 5 GA
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
5 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sevilla Sevilla 7 matches
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 matches
Sevilla Statistic Rayo Vallecano
4 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
7 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla won 8 times, Rayo Vallecano won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:14 from Sevilla's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Sevilla 4-2-3-1 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Sevilla 2, Rayo Vallecano 3
H2H summary: Sevilla wins 8, draws 6, Rayo Vallecano wins 1

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 21:4 17 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 14:4 10 12
W L W W W
3 5 4 0 1 7:6 1 12
W W L W W
4 5 3 1 1 11:5 6 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 10:6 4 10
W L W D W
6 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W D L W W
7 5 2 3 0 9:6 3 9
D W W D D
8 5 2 1 2 8:5 3 7
W D L L W
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W W L L
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
W L W L D
11 5 2 1 2 5:8 -3 7
L L W W D
12 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W D W L
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
L D W D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
D D L W L
15 6 0 4 2 3:6 -3 4
D D D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:14 -6 4
L W L D L
17 5 0 3 2 2:8 -6 3
D D L D L
18 5 0 2 3 7:10 -3 2
L L L D D
19 5 0 2 3 6:13 -7 2
D L L L D
20 5 0 1 4 1:10 -9 1
L L L L D
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Relegation