Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
56.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
SC Villa
UPDF
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
SC Villa
28 matches
UPDF
29 matches
| SC Villa | Statistic | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 17 |
| 42 | Goals For | 23 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 0.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by SC Villa's more proactive style and UPDF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward UPDF. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UPDF having the stronger overall control. SC Villa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 55 points compared to UPDF in 14 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. UPDF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 4 place with 55 points from 28 games, SC Villa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 16 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 41:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on F. Ssebuufu (8 goals), N. Yiga (7 goals), C. Lwanga (4 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
With 22 points from 29 games and a place of 14, UPDF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 23:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Ssekamatte (7 goals), E. Ochen (6 goals), R. Faridi (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, SC Villa won 8 times, UPDF won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:7 from SC Villa's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
SC Villa
NEC
SC Villa
Mbarara City
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Kitara
SC Villa
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
Lugazi
SC Villa
Vipers
SC Villa
KCCA
SC Villa
Entebbe UPPC
SC Villa
Police
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Maroons
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
Lugazi
SC Villa
Mbarara City
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Calvary
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
Maroons
UPDF
Calvary
UPDF
KCCA
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Police
UPDF
URA
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
Express
UPDF
Mbarara City
UPDF
Maroons
UPDF
Vipers
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Lugazi
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
KCCA
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
BUL
SC Villa
Buhimba Saints
SC Villa
Vipers
SC Villa
KCCA
SC Villa
Express
SC Villa
Maroons
SC Villa
Lugazi
SC Villa
Mbarara City
SC Villa
Calvary
SC Villa
URA
SC Villa
NEC
SC Villa
Kitara
SC Villa
Police
SC Villa
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Police
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
Maroons
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Lugazi
UPDF
KCCA
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
Vipers
UPDF
Calvary
UPDF
URA
UPDF
Mbarara City
UPDF
Express
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
SC Villa
Home
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
UPDF
Away
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|