Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Sassuolo
Lecce
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sassuolo
38 matches
Lecce
38 matches
| Sassuolo | Statistic | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 21 |
| 45 | Goals For | 26 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.68 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 20 |
| 3.76 | Shots On Goal | 2.39 |
| 10.87 | Total Shots | 9.53 |
| 4.03 | Corners | 4.18 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 41.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sassuolo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Lecce in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lecce having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lecce.
Sassuolo sit 11 with 49 points after 36 league matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 44:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pinamonti (8 goals), Domenico Berardi (8 goals), A. Lauriente (6 goals), with creative support from A. Lauriente (9 assists), Domenico Berardi (4 assists), Kristian Thorstvedt (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 32 points from 36 games and a place of 17, Lecce still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats, and the 24:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lameck Banda (4 goals), Lassana Coulibaly (3 goals), Nikola Štulić (3 goals), with creative support from Antonino Gallo (4 assists), Lameck Banda (3 assists), M. Berisha (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Marchwiński unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo won 4 times, Lecce won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Sassuolo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sassuolo
Home
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Lecce
Away
|
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|