Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
16 matches
Botafogo
19 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 32 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.74 |
| 11.88 | Total Shots | 12.53 |
| 6.69 | Corners | 3.79 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sao Paulo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
With 24 points from 16 games and a place of 4, Sao Paulo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 22:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jonathan Calleri (6 goals), Luciano (5 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), D. Bobadilla (2 assists), Marcos Antonio (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Botafogo sit 9 with 21 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 29:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Danilo (7 goals), Matheus Martins (4 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), Alex Telles (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 4 times, Botafogo won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Sao Paulo
4
6
6
7
4
1
Lineups
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Gremio
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Botafogo
Away
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
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