Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
27.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
São Bernardo
Ceara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
São Bernardo
19 matches
Ceara
19 matches
| São Bernardo | Statistic | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 25 | Goals For | 16 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.84 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.32 | Shots On Goal | 3.84 |
| 11.05 | Total Shots | 13.37 |
| 3.95 | Corners | 5.95 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by São Bernardo's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. São Bernardo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 27 points compared to Ceara in 17 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Ceara in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ceara having the stronger overall control.
São Bernardo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 27 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 24:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echaporã (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
With 19 points from 18 games and a place of 17, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 16:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Matheus Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 0 times, Ceara won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from São Bernardo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
São Bernardo
5
8
5
6
8
3
Lineups
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
CRB
Ceara
America Mineiro
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
America Mineiro
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
São Bernardo
Home
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Ceara
Away
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|