26.08.2026 22:00
Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso
Referee: C. Garay
Coquimbo Unido
Match Timeline
U. Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Diego Sánchez
Coquimbo Unido
40'
N. Johansen · Assist: F. Salinas
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
45+2'
Alejandro Camargo
Coquimbo Unido
🟨
46'
Cristián Cuevas
U. Catolica
🔄
60'
C. Cuevas ↔ A. Canales
U. Catolica
🔄
60'
J. Giani ↔ D. Corral
U. Catolica
🔄
67'
P. Rodriguez ↔ S. Cordero
Coquimbo Unido
69'
F. Zampedri · Assist: D. Corral
U. Catolica
🔄
73'
C. Montes ↔ M. Gomez
U. Catolica
🔄
77'
N. Johansen ↔ F. Pons
Coquimbo Unido
🔄
77'
A. Camargo ↔ B. Chandia
Coquimbo Unido
79'
M. Gomez · Assist: F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
🔄
83'
S. Arancibia ↔ D. Gonzalez
U. Catolica
🔄
84'
J. A. Martinez ↔ A. Farias
U. Catolica
🔄
85'
L. Riveros ↔ D. Pereira
Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 41.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
41.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Coquimbo Unido Win 41.5%
Draw 17.8%
U. Catolica Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coquimbo Unido1.32
U. Catolica1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
WWDLW
44 GF / 33 GA
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WLDWL
64 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.94
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
19
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
24
4.42
Shots on Goal
4.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 34 matches
U. Catolica U. Catolica 33 matches
Coquimbo Unido Statistic U. Catolica
14 Wins 18
12 Draws 5
8 Losses 10
44 Goals For 64
33 Goals Against 45
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
19 BTTS Yes 20
24 Over 1.5 29
14 Over 2.5 24
6 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 6
4.42 Shots On Goal 4.48
11.69 Total Shots 12.89
5.73 Corners 4.96
48.2% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward U. Catolica. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Coquimbo Unido Analysis

Coquimbo Unido are currently 8 in the standings with 25 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicolás Johansen (5 goals), Guido Vadalá (2 goals), Pablo Rodríguez (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Cornejo (3 assists), Francisco Salinas (1 assists), Cristián Zavala (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

U. Catolica Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 30 points from 18 games, U. Catolica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 40:26 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Fernando Zampedri (9 goals), Justo Giani (5 goals), Clemente Montes (3 goals), with creative support from Clemente Montes (3 assists), Matías Palavecino (3 assists), Cristián Cuevas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coquimbo Unido won 7 times, U. Catolica won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:19 from Coquimbo Unido's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Coquimbo Unido 4-2-3-1 / U. Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Coquimbo Unido wins 7, draws 2, U. Catolica wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
13 21 7 4 10 29:39 -10 25
W D L L L
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 22 6 4 12 17:37 -20 22
L L W L L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L