Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
63.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
São Bernardo
21 matches
Botafogo SP
21 matches
| São Bernardo | Statistic | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 31 | Goals For | 26 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.43 | Shots On Goal | 3.57 |
| 11.57 | Total Shots | 11.48 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 5.71 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 45.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. São Bernardo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botafogo SP. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Botafogo SP in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
São Bernardo sit 12 with 27 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 28:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Mário Sergio (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Botafogo SP approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 24 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 24:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (4 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 3 times, Botafogo SP won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from São Bernardo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
São Bernardo
3
3
7
7
5
7
Lineups
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Juventude
Botafogo SP
Londrina
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Avai
Botafogo SP
CRB
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
Goias
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Londrina
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Goias
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
São Bernardo
Home
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 14 |
Botafogo SP
Away
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|