BRAZIL › SERIE A
10.05.2026 21:30
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Referee: A. Gomes Stefano
Santos
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Lucas Barbosa
RB Bragantino
🟨
16'
Isidro Pitta
RB Bragantino
🟨
45'
Gabriel Girotto
RB Bragantino
⚽
45'
Neymar · Assist: Gabriel Bontempo
Santos
🔄
46'
J. Herrera ↔ Eduardo Sasha
RB Bragantino
🔄
46'
I. Sosa ↔ Eric Ramires
RB Bragantino
🔄
67'
Gabriel ↔ Rodriguinho
RB Bragantino
🔄
70'
C. Oliva ↔ Willian Arao
Santos
🔄
70'
Gabriel Bontempo ↔ Rony
Santos
🔄
74'
H. Mosquera ↔ Fernando Santos
RB Bragantino
🟨
75'
Alix Vinicius
RB Bragantino
⚽
76'
A. Frias
Santos
🔄
78'
A. Hurtado ↔ A. Sant'Anna
RB Bragantino
🟨
79'
Neymar
Santos
🔄
82'
Neymar ↔ Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
🔄
87'
B. Rollheiser ↔ Miguelito
Santos
🔄
87'
A. Barreal ↔ Moises
Santos

Santos vs RB Bragantino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Santos Win 37%
Draw 12.9%
RB Bragantino Win 50.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos1.27
RB Bragantino1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos Santos
WWDLW
19 GF / 22 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
17 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
11
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
3.29
Shots on Goal
5.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santos Santos 14 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 14 matches
Santos Statistic RB Bragantino
3 Wins 6
6 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
19 Goals For 17
22 Goals Against 16
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
11 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
3.29 Shots On Goal 5.07
12.29 Total Shots 15.79
5.29 Corners 5.57
47.1% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by RB Bragantino's more proactive style and Santos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors RB Bragantino. RB Bragantino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 20 points while Santos sit 16 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Santos Analysis

Santos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 15 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 19:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals), Benjamín Rollheiser (3 goals), Neymar (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Moises (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

RB Bragantino Analysis

So far, RB Bragantino have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 20 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 17:16 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Pitta (4 goals), Lucas Barbosa (3 goals), D. Tchamba (2 goals), with creative support from Juninho Capixaba (2 assists), Henry Mosquera (2 assists), I. Pitta (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 5 times, RB Bragantino won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Santos's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Santos 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Santos 6, RB Bragantino 6
H2H summary: Santos wins 5, draws 6, RB Bragantino wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19 28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B