Santos vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
49.4%
|
2.57 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.89 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
10.00 |
Santos
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
26 matches
Cruzeiro
36 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 16 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 40 | Goals For | 51 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.88 | Shots On Goal | 4.56 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 14.15 |
| 5.28 | Corners | 4.82 |
| 50.1% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cruzeiro look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cruzeiro. Cruzeiro carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 39 points while Santos sit 14 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Santos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 29 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 34:36 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Barbosa (8 goals), Neymar (6 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Christian Oliva (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Cruzeiro have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 39 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 35:36 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Kaio Jorge (6 goals), Matheus Pereira (5 goals), Christian (4 goals), with creative support from Fagner (4 assists), Matheus Pereira (3 assists), Christian (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 5 times, Cruzeiro won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Santos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Santos
Home
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|