Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Santos
Coritiba
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
15 matches
Coritiba
15 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 21 | Goals For | 18 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.27 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.07 | Total Shots | 10.07 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 3.2 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 38.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Coritiba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 18 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Santos still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 21:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals), Neymar (4 goals), Benjamín Rollheiser (3 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Moises (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Coritiba sit 9 with 20 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Breno Lopes (5 goals), J. Lavega (4 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (5 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 10 times, Coritiba won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:8 from Santos's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Santos
3
5
6
2
4
2
Lineups
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Bahia
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Remo
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Coritiba
Away
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Santos
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|