Santos vs Bahia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Santos Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santos1.37
Bahia1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santos
WWDLW
37 GF / 36 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
43 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
16
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
14
3.92
Shots on Goal
4.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
25 matches
Bahia
29 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 37 | Goals For | 43 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.7 |
| 13.21 | Total Shots | 14.44 |
| 5.42 | Corners | 5.56 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 55.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 6 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:15 from Santos's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Santos 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Santos wins 6, draws 5, Bahia wins 4
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 52 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50:21 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 45 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Bahia
Away
|
25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Santos
Home
|
24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
| 15 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30:42 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B