Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Santa Fe
Once Caldas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santa Fe
31 matches
Once Caldas
24 matches
| Santa Fe | Statistic | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 9 |
| 13 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 3 |
| 44 | Goals For | 39 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.57 | Shots On Goal | 5.59 |
| 12.17 | Total Shots | 14.23 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 5.45 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Once Caldas in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Once Caldas having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Once Caldas.
Santa Fe arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 35 points after 23 matches. The record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 35:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Nahuel Bustos (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, Once Caldas have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 34 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses, while the 33:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe won 7 times, Once Caldas won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Santa Fe's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Santa Fe
2
9
5
4
1
9
Lineups
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa Fe
Chico
Santa Fe
Águilas Doradas
Santa Fe
Penarol
Santa Fe
Junior
Santa Fe
Platense
Santa Fe
Junior
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Internacional de Bogota
Santa Fe
Platense
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
Santa Fe
Cucuta
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Millonarios
Santa Fe
Penarol
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
Llaneros
Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
Junior
Once Caldas
Jaguares
Once Caldas
America de Cali
Once Caldas
Cucuta
Once Caldas
Junior
Once Caldas
Junior
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
Once Caldas
Llaneros
Once Caldas
Millonarios
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
Once Caldas
Chico
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
Once Caldas
Junior
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa Fe
Chico
Santa Fe
Platense
Santa Fe
Junior
Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Internacional de Bogota
Santa Fe
Cucuta
Santa Fe
Penarol
Santa Fe
Llaneros
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe
Junior
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pereira
Santa Fe
Águilas Doradas
Santa Fe
Deportivo Tachira FC
Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
Fortaleza FC
Once Caldas
Junior
Once Caldas
Jaguares
Once Caldas
Junior
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
Once Caldas
Llaneros
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
America de Cali
Once Caldas
Cucuta
Once Caldas
America de Cali
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
Once Caldas
Millonarios
Once Caldas
Llaneros
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
Once Caldas
America de Cali
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga