ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Osvaldo Baletto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds 2.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.8%
2.98
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
2.77
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.42
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
San Telmo Win 30.7%
Draw 4.4%
Deportivo Madryn Win 64.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Telmo0.9
Deportivo Madryn1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Telmo San Telmo
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
5
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Telmo San Telmo 15 matches
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 16 matches
San Telmo Statistic Deportivo Madryn
3 Wins 6
6 Draws 5
6 Losses 5
12 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 17
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
5 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Madryn's more proactive style and San Telmo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo Madryn. Deportivo Madryn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 23 points while San Telmo sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Madryn having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Telmo Analysis

San Telmo sit 15 with 15 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:16 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

So far, Deportivo Madryn have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 23 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 20:15 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Telmo won 2 times, Deportivo Madryn won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from San Telmo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
H2H summary: San Telmo wins 2, draws 1, Deportivo Madryn wins 1
Last matches: San Telmo
30.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Defensores De Belgrano
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
CA Estudiantes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
All Boys
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Los Andes
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Godoy Cruz
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Quilmes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Colon Santa Fe
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
San Miguel
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Acassuso
2
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
San Telmo
Chaco For Ever
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
2
L
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Acassuso
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Central Norte
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Racing Cordoba
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Almirante Brown
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
CA Estudiantes
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
25.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin S.J.
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
H2H: San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn
15.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Madryn
San Telmo
1
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
06.05.22
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
05.02.21
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
Last matches: San Telmo
23.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
San Telmo
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
All Boys
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
San Telmo
Godoy Cruz
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Quilmes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Colon Santa Fe
3
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
San Telmo
Acassuso
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
2
L
H2H at home: San Telmo
28.04.24
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
06.05.22
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
W
05.02.21
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Madryn
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Central Norte
3
2
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Racing Cordoba
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
All Boys
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
0
0
D
25.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Madryn
San Martin S.J.
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Madryn
Colon Santa Fe
1
2
L
H2H away: Deportivo Madryn
28.04.24
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
L
06.05.22
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
2
1
L
05.02.21
H2H
San Telmo
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.98
Draw 2.87
Home 2.74
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.84
Draw 1.94
Home 3.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 1.75 1.69
Over 2.0 2.01
Over 2.25 2.40
Over 2.5 2.77
Over 3.5 5.62
Under 0.5 6.55
Under 1.5 2.53
Under 1.75 2.19
Under 2.0 1.83
Under 2.25 1.59
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 3.5 1.14
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.90
Home 2.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.91
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.10
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.76
Draw 2.77
Home 2.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.72
Draw 1.81
Home 3.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 2.13
Home 2.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.13
Over 1.25 1.33
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 1.75 1.64
Over 2.0 1.84
Over 2.25 2.15
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 2.75 2.92
Over 3.0 3.92
Over 3.25 4.30
Over 3.5 4.65
Over 3.75 5.90
Over 4.0 8.50
Over 4.5 9.10
Over 5.5 18.00
Under 0.5 5.70
Under 0.75 5.15
Under 1.0 4.60
Under 1.25 3.04
Under 1.5 2.41
Under 1.75 2.11
Under 2.0 1.78
Under 2.25 1.56
Under 2.5 1.43
Under 2.75 1.31
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.90
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 2.5 2.43
Over 3.5 4.60
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.48
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.15

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 4 3 23:13 10 28
?
1 16 9 3 4 21:10 11 30
?
2 16 6 8 2 12:4 8 26
?
2 15 8 3 4 21:18 3 27
?
3 15 6 8 1 13:8 5 26
?
3 16 6 8 2 15:10 5 26
?
4 15 6 7 2 18:13 5 25
?
4 16 7 4 5 17:11 6 25
?
5 15 7 4 4 15:11 4 25
?
5 16 7 4 5 14:12 2 25
?
6 15 6 5 4 20:15 5 23
?
6 15 6 3 6 22:18 4 21
?
7 15 5 7 3 16:11 5 22
?
7 15 5 6 4 14:12 2 21
?
8 16 4 8 4 12:12 0 20
?
8 15 5 5 5 15:16 -1 20
?
9 15 5 5 5 9:10 -1 20
?
9 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
?
10 16 5 5 6 10:13 -3 20
?
10 15 4 8 3 12:15 -3 20
?
11 16 4 8 4 12:17 -5 20
?
11 14 4 6 4 13:12 1 18
?
12 16 5 3 8 11:15 -4 18
?
12 15 5 3 7 14:17 -3 18
?
13 15 3 8 4 16:15 1 17
?
13 15 4 6 5 10:13 -3 18
?
14 15 4 4 7 13:18 -5 16
?
14 15 4 5 6 14:11 3 17
?
15 15 3 6 6 12:16 -4 15
?
15 16 4 5 7 12:16 -4 17
?
16 15 3 6 6 8:15 -7 15
?
16 15 4 5 6 12:17 -5 17
?
17 16 3 5 8 10:16 -6 14
?
17 16 4 4 8 11:18 -7 16
?
18 15 1 6 8 11:20 -9 9
?
18 15 4 4 7 15:23 -8 16
?