🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.05.2026 01:30
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: D. Fischer
San Diego
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
30'
B. White · Assist: T. Muller
Vancouver Whitecaps
45'
B. White · Assist: J. Badwal
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
K. Sargeant ↔ L. Bombino
San Diego
🟨
50'
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
53'
D. Vazquez · Assist: A. Dreyer
San Diego
🟨
54'
L. Bombino
San Diego
🟨
63'
J. Badwal
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
63'
A. Jackson ↔ B. Caicedo
Vancouver Whitecaps
67'
B. Caicedo · Assist: B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
71'
D. Vazquez ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
71'
P. Soma ↔ A. Saidi
San Diego
🟨
72'
L. Bombino
San Diego
🟥
72'
L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
73'
K. G. Cabrera Nakamura ↔ R. Priso
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
74'
A. Pellegrino ↔ I. Pilcher
San Diego
75'
R. Priso · Assist: B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
84'
T. Johnson ↔ M. Gherasimencov
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
84'
B. White ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
84'
J. Badwal ↔ N. Djordjevic
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
86'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ B. B. Zamble
San Diego
🟨
87'
O. Verhoeven
San Diego
🟨
90+2'
B. Caicedo
Vancouver Whitecaps
90'
B. B. Zamble · Assist: A. Dreyer
San Diego

San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 36.2%
Draw 13.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 50.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.57
Vancouver Whitecaps1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
37 GF / 31 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
35 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
10
4.5
Shots on Goal
6.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 19 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 21 matches
San Diego Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
7 Wins 11
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
37 Goals For 35
31 Goals Against 21
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 6
4.5 Shots On Goal 6.06
11.28 Total Shots 16.94
4.67 Corners 6.24
58.7% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vancouver Whitecaps. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 29 points while San Diego sit 10 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

San Diego Analysis

From their first 14 matches, San Diego have collected 17 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 28:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ingvartsen (11 goals), A. Dreyer (6 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (5 assists), O. Valakari (3 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 29 points after 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 30:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. White (8 goals), S. Berhalter (6 goals), T. Muller (4 goals), with creative support from S. Berhalter (4 assists), M. Laborda (2 assists), Emmanuel Sabbi (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 1 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from San Diego's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: San Diego 5, Vancouver Whitecaps 10
H2H summary: San Diego wins 1, draws 1, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 2

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)