San Diego vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.9%
|
1.79 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.40 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.8%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Diego
28 matches
San Jose Earthquakes
28 matches
| San Diego | Statistic | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 49 | Goals For | 47 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 11.67 | Total Shots | 13.04 |
| 4.78 | Corners | 6.17 |
| 58.4% | Ball Possession | 47.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Jose Earthquakes. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and San Jose Earthquakes in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Jose Earthquakes having the stronger overall control. San Jose Earthquakes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
San Diego sit 8 with 30 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 40:33 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcus Ingvartsen (7 goals), Anders Dreyer (3 goals), David Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from Anders Dreyer (7 assists), Lewis Morgan (3 assists), Pedro Soma (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 34 points from 22 games and a place of 4, San Jose Earthquakes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 39:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 2 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from San Diego's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | 33 | 49 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 44 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | 9 | 44 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | 7 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
San Jose Earthquakes
Away
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 36 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
San Diego
Home
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|