BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Sampaio Correa
Match Timeline
Iguatu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
47'
Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa
84'
Matheus Lima
Iguatu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.4%
-
BTTS Yes
70.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sampaio Correa Win 40.3%
Draw 21.6%
Iguatu Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampaio Correa1.11
Iguatu1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Iguatu Iguatu
WLDWL
13 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 9 matches
Iguatu Iguatu 9 matches
Sampaio Correa Statistic Iguatu
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 0
12 Goals For 13
5 Goals Against 7
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
3 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Iguatu. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Iguatu having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sampaio Correa Analysis

Sampaio Correa approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 13 points after 9 outings. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 12:5, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gean (4 goals), C. Peu (2 goals), Elias (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Iguatu Analysis

Iguatu come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 17 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 13:7 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Matheus Lima (6 goals), J. Klaivert (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sampaio Correa won 0 times, Iguatu won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Sampaio Correa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.4%)
H2H summary: Sampaio Correa wins 0, draws 2, Iguatu wins 2
Last matches: Sampaio Correa
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Trem
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Trem
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
4
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
0
1
L
04.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
2
2
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Tocantinópolis
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Imperatriz
3
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maranhão
0
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
2
0
W
11.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Altos
1
1
D
Last matches: Iguatu
04.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
3
2
W
27.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
1
2
L
13.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
1
D
30.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
0
W
H2H: Sampaio Correa vs Iguatu
07.06.26
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
1
L
04.04.26
H2H
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
26.07.25
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
19.04.25
H2H
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
0
L
Last matches: Sampaio Correa
21.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Trem
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Moto Club
4
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Correa
IAPE
0
0
D
04.08.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Manauara
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Tocantinópolis
2
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Imperatriz
3
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maracanã
2
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Altos
2
2
D
21.05.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Maranhão
1
1
D
26.04.25
Ser
Sampaio Correa
Parnahyba
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sampaio Correa
07.06.26
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D
Last matches: Iguatu
04.07.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maguary PE
3
2
W
21.06.26
Ser
Iguatu
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
IAPE
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Iguatu
Moto Club
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Sampaio Correa
1
1
D
06.07.25
Ser
Iguatu
Parnahyba
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Altos
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maranhão
1
1
D
24.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
04.05.25
Ser
Iguatu
Maracanã
0
1
L
26.04.25
Ser
Iguatu
Imperatriz
1
2
L
H2H away: Iguatu
07.06.26
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
0
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Sampaio Correa
Iguatu
1
1
D

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)