BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Lourival Gomes
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Match Timeline
Portuguesa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
48'
Ryan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
89'
Matheus Cadorini
Portuguesa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.3%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win 47.6%
Draw 7.7%
Portuguesa Win 44.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampaio Corrêa RJ0.72
Portuguesa1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
Portuguesa Portuguesa
WLDWL
16 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
4
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ 10 matches
Portuguesa Portuguesa 10 matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Statistic Portuguesa
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
8 Goals For 16
10 Goals Against 6
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 7
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together Portuguesa's more proactive style and Sampaio Corrêa RJ's more cautious structure, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Portuguesa. Sampaio Corrêa RJ have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Portuguesa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Portuguesa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Sampaio Corrêa RJ sit 4 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Analysis

Sampaio Corrêa RJ come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 12 points from 10 matches. The return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 8:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Elias (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Portuguesa Analysis

Portuguesa enter this tie with a season profile built on 21 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 16:6, they bring good form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on Lohan (5 goals), Matheus Cadorini (5 goals), Matheus Iacovelli (5 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sampaio Corrêa RJ won 0 times, Portuguesa won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Sampaio Corrêa RJ's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
H2H summary: Sampaio Corrêa RJ wins 0, draws 1, Portuguesa wins 1
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
1
0
W
Last matches: Portuguesa
11.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
2
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
4
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
1
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
26.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
2
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
2
1
W
H2H: Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa
27.06.26
H2H
Portuguesa
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
L
20.06.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
30.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
20.06.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
Last matches: Portuguesa
04.07.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Madureira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
América RJ
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Portuguesa
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
02.08.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Mixto
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
14.06.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Nova Iguaçu
1
1
D
17.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Porto Vitória
3
1
W
04.05.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Água Santa
1
2
L
19.04.25
Ser
Portuguesa
Boavista SC
2
2
D
H2H away: Portuguesa
20.06.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)