GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
29.05.2026 17:00
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: B. Ninua
Rustavi
Match Timeline
Spaeri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
I. Iakobidze
Rustavi
29'
Jean
Rustavi
🟨
37'
M. Kapanadze
Rustavi
63'
G. Tsetskhladze · Assist: Z. Golubiani
Spaeri
🟨
67'
S. Kessi
Rustavi
🟨
70'
N. Kentchadze
Spaeri
🔄
73'
Jean ↔ B. Jibril
Rustavi
🔄
73'
K. Ceijas ↔ G. Chkheidze
Rustavi
🔄
73'
N. Kentchadze ↔ T. Tsalughelashvili
Spaeri
🔄
78'
P. Poniava ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
82'
A. Gujabidze
Rustavi
🔄
85'
S. Kessi ↔ David Oliveira
Rustavi
🔄
85'
D. Ubilava ↔ M. Pami
Rustavi
🟨
90+3'
G. Grigalashvili
Spaeri
🔄
90+4'
P. Osei ↔ N. Japaridze
Rustavi
🔄
90+2'
S. Mathenjwa ↔ G. Grigalashvili
Spaeri

Rustavi vs Spaeri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 74.5%
Draw 0%
Spaeri Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.23
Spaeri1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
WWDLW
26 GF / 24 GA
Spaeri Spaeri
WLDWL
32 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
13
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 22 matches
Spaeri Spaeri 20 matches
Rustavi Statistic Spaeri
8 Wins 7
7 Draws 8
7 Losses 5
26 Goals For 32
24 Goals Against 26
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
13 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Spaeri. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Spaeri having the stronger overall control.

Rustavi Analysis

Placed 3 with 23 points from 14 outings, Rustavi continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jean (4 goals), I. Iakobidze (3 goals), A. Gujabidze (2 goals), with creative support from P. Osei (3 assists), S. Kessi (2 assists), K. Ceijas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Spaeri Analysis

Spaeri are currently 7 in the standings with 17 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 20:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Samkharadze (4 goals), L. Kokhreidze (4 goals), G. Bunturi (2 goals), with creative support from G. Tsirdava (3 assists), S. Gegiadze (2 assists), G. Samkharadze (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 6 times, Spaeri won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Rustavi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rustavi 4-3-3 / Spaeri 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 6, draws 3, Spaeri wins 4

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 7 6 32:21 11 46
W D L D W
2 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
3 25 11 9 5 40:27 13 42
W D D W L
4 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 26 9 9 8 41:31 10 36
W D D L D
7 26 9 5 12 36:49 -13 32
L L L D W
8 26 6 10 10 24:36 -12 28
L D L W L
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 26 2 10 14 19:43 -24 16
L D D W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2