GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion an der Hafenstrasse
Referee: M. Burda
Rot-Weiß Essen
Match Timeline
Verl
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Gianluca Swajkowski
Rot-Weiß Essen
🟨
20'
Michel Stöcker
Verl
🟨
39'
Yari Otto
Verl
🔄
42'
L. Brumme ↔ M. Kostka
Rot-Weiß Essen
51'
G. Swajkowski
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
64'
J. Hofmann ↔ N. Kaiser
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
64'
G. Swajkowski ↔ R. Reisig
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
65'
J. Eze ↔ J. Stark
Verl
🔄
73'
A. Mesanovic ↔ A. Japaur
Verl
🔄
73'
Y. Otto ↔ F. Wessig
Verl
🟨
78'
Julian Stark
Verl
🔄
81'
R. Safi ↔ M. Obuz
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
81'
T. Musel ↔ D. Schmidt
Rot-Weiß Essen
🔄
84'
M. Stocker ↔ E. Bamba
Verl
🔄
84'
J. Arweiler ↔ T. Knost
Verl
🟨
88'
Kaito Mizuta
Rot-Weiß Essen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rot-Weiß Essen Win 66.2%
Draw 6.2%
Verl Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rot-Weiß Essen1.76
Verl2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
WWDLW
74 GF / 64 GA
Verl Verl
WLDWL
79 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
30
BTTS Yes
25
25
Over 2.5
27
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 36 matches
Verl Verl 36 matches
Rot-Weiß Essen Statistic Verl
18 Wins 17
10 Draws 10
8 Losses 9
74 Goals For 79
64 Goals Against 47
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
30 BTTS Yes 25
32 Over 1.5 33
25 Over 2.5 27
19 Over 3.5 18
5 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 4
4.7 Shots On Goal 4.9
12.23 Total Shots 13.5
4.47 Corners 5.67
40.5% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Rot-Weiß Essen expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Verl in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Verl having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Verl. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Rot-Weiß Essen have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Rot-Weiß Essen Analysis

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 4 with 64 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 18 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 74:64, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Janssen (14 goals), K. Mizuta (9 goals), T. Musel (9 goals), with creative support from K. Mizuta (11 assists), L. Brumme (7 assists), D. Abiama (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Verl Analysis

Verl arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 61 points after 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 79:47 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Arweiler (16 goals), B. Taz (14 goals), A. Besio (11 goals), with creative support from B. Taz (18 assists), O. Mhamdi (8 assists), A. Besio (7 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 times, Verl won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Rot-Weiß Essen's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Rot-Weiß Essen 4-2-3-1 / Verl 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Rot-Weiß Essen wins 1, draws 5, Verl wins 4

Standings

3. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6
Verl Away
38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation