AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Innviertel Arena
Referee: W. Altmann
Ried
Match Timeline
Rapid Vienna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Nicolas Bajlicz
Ried
14'
N. Havenaar · Assist: J. Nasrawe
Ried
🔄
48'
M. Sollbauer ↔ F. Rossdorfer
Ried
🔄
71'
A. Weimann ↔ T. Borkeeiet
Rapid Vienna
🔄
71'
J. Auer ↔ F. Demir
Rapid Vienna
🔄
71'
N. Wurmbrand ↔ M. Tilio
Rapid Vienna
🔄
72'
↔ M. Rasner
Ried
75'
R. Amane · Assist: P. Dahl
Rapid Vienna
77'
J. Boguo · Assist: N. Havenaar
Ried
🔄
83'
J. Boguo ↔ E. E. Aisowieren
Ried
🔄
85'
A. Ahoussou ↔ L. Schaub
Rapid Vienna
🟨
86'
Furkan Demir
Rapid Vienna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ried Win 72.2%
Draw 0%
Rapid Vienna Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried1.36
Rapid Vienna1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ried Ried
WWDLW
51 GF / 45 GA
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
WLDWL
56 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
18
BTTS Yes
25
18
Over 2.5
21
3.64
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ried Ried 38 matches
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 48 matches
Ried Statistic Rapid Vienna
17 Wins 18
6 Draws 11
15 Losses 19
51 Goals For 56
45 Goals Against 67
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
18 BTTS Yes 25
29 Over 1.5 38
18 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 12
3.64 Shots On Goal 3.61
11.94 Total Shots 11.77
4.27 Corners 5.23
49.5% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Rapid Vienna's more proactive style and Ried's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ried hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Rapid Vienna now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Rapid Vienna controlled more possession in the first leg (66% against 34%). Ried were also more accurate in attack, recording 6 shots on target to 3. Rapid Vienna circulated the ball more often, making 391 passes to 207 and completing 318. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rapid Vienna. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Ried arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 28 points compared to Rapid Vienna in 5 on 33, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Ried Analysis

Ried enter this tie with a season profile built on 28 points from 32 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats with goals at 38:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on K. Mutandwa (16 goals), M. Grosse (6 goals), A. Bajic (5 goals), with creative support from Philipp Pomer (5 assists), A. Bajic (4 assists), K. Mutandwa (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rapid Vienna Analysis

Rapid Vienna enter this tie with a season profile built on 33 points from 22 matches, placing them 5 in their league. With 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses plus a goal ratio of 26:25, they bring poor form and are going through a difficult losing run into this tie. Going forward they rely on E. Kara (6 goals), Bendegúz Bolla (4 goals), Matthias Seidl (4 goals), with creative support from Matthias Seidl (6 assists), P. Dahl (4 assists), C. M'Buyi (3 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 6 times, Rapid Vienna won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:24 from Ried's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ried 3-4-2-1 / Rapid Vienna 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Ried wins 6, draws 1, Rapid Vienna wins 8
Stats
Ried Ried
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 2
9 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 4
10 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
351 Total passes 405
270 Passes accurate 332
1.00 expected_goals 1.08
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ried
Formation
Rapid Vienna
A. Leitner
A. Leitner
N. Havenaar
🎯
N. Havenaar
M. Sollbauer
M. Sollbauer
O. Steurer
O. Steurer
P. Pomer
P. Pomer
J. Nasrawe
🎯
J. Nasrawe
Y. Maart
Y. Maart
N. Bajlicz
N. Bajlicz
A. Bajic
A. Bajic
J. Boguo
J. Boguo
K. Mutandwa
K. Mutandwa
N. Hedl
N. Hedl
J. M. Scholler
J. M. Scholler
S. Raux Yao
S. Raux Yao
A. Ahoussou
A. Ahoussou
M. Seidl
M. Seidl
A. Weimann
A. Weimann
R. Amane
R. Amane
J. Auer
J. Auer
N. Wurmbrand
N. Wurmbrand
P. Dahl
🎯
P. Dahl
E. Kara
E. Kara
Ried 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
A. Leitner
G
5
N. Havenaar
⚽ 14' 🎯 77'
D
23
M. Sollbauer
↓ 48'
D
30
O. Steurer
D
17
P. Pomer
M
19
J. Nasrawe
🎯 14'
M
6
Y. Maart
M
28
N. Bajlicz
🟨 4'
M
12
A. Bajic
F
15
J. Boguo
⚽ 77' ↓ 83'
F
7
K. Mutandwa
F
Substitutes
36
M. Kostenbauer
G
26
J. Mayer
M
18
F. Rossdorfer
↑ 48'
M
14
P. Weissenbacher
D
48
R. Pesu
M
8
M. Rasner
↑ 72'
M
47
E. E. Aisowieren
↑ 83'
M
22
C. Scholl
M
40
L. Zeqiri
M
Rapid Vienna 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
N. Hedl
G
4
J. M. Scholler
D
6
S. Raux Yao
D
20
A. Ahoussou
↓ 85'
D
18
M. Seidl
M
26
A. Weimann
↓ 71'
M
29
R. Amane
⚽ 75'
M
23
J. Auer
↓ 71'
M
15
N. Wurmbrand
↓ 71'
F
10
P. Dahl
🎯 75'
F
9
E. Kara
F
Substitutes
25
P. Gartler
G
21
L. Schaub
↑ 85'
M
16
T. Borkeeiet
↑ 71'
M
61
F. Demir
↑ 71' 🟨 86'
D
44
L. Szladits
M
47
A. Groller
D
7
M. Tilio
↑ 71'
F
17
T. Gulliksen
M
43
M. Haidara
F
Last matches: Ried
25.05.26
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
3
L
19.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
0
2
L
09.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
25.04.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
0
1
L
21.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
2
1
W
17.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
0
D
03.04.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ried
WSPG Wels
2
1
W
21.03.26
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
3
L
18.03.26
Cup
Ried
Lask Linz
1
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Bun
Ried
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
01.03.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
1
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
14.02.26
Bun
Ried
Lask Linz
1
1
D
08.02.26
Bun
Ried
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
31.01.26
Cup
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
Last matches: Rapid Vienna
25.05.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Ried
3
0
W
17.05.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
0
2
L
10.05.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
04.05.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Lask Linz
1
3
L
26.04.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
22.04.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
0
2
L
19.04.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
2
2
D
12.04.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
1
1
D
05.04.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
0
2
L
22.03.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Lask Linz
4
2
W
15.03.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
08.03.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
01.03.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
SCR Altach
1
1
D
21.02.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Wolfsberger AC
2
0
W
15.02.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
07.02.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
1
1
D
31.01.26
Cup
Rapid Vienna
Ried
0
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Rapid Vienna
Mura
5
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Rapid Vienna
First Vienna
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Rapid Vienna
Gyori ETO FC
0
2
L
H2H: Ried vs Rapid Vienna
25.05.26
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
3
0
L
22.05.26
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
1
W
31.01.26
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
1
2
W
26.10.25
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
05.04.23
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
2
1
L
15.10.22
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
1
0
W
24.07.22
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
1
0
L
28.11.21
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
22.08.21
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
3
0
L
27.02.21
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
1
0
L
22.11.20
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
4
3
W
28.02.18
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
2
1
L
08.04.17
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
11.12.16
H2H
Rapid Vienna
Ried
3
1
L
Last matches: Ried
19.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
0
W
21.04.26
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
2
1
W
03.04.26
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
Ried
WSPG Wels
2
1
W
18.03.26
Cup
Ried
Lask Linz
1
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
1
W
08.03.26
Bun
Ried
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
Ried
Lask Linz
1
1
D
31.01.26
Cup
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Ried
Austria Salzburg
4
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Ried
České Budějovice
2
0
W
13.12.25
Bun
Ried
SCR Altach
3
0
W
29.11.25
Bun
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
1
0
W
08.11.25
Bun
Ried
FC BW Linz
2
1
W
26.10.25
Bun
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
04.10.25
Bun
Ried
WSG Wattens
2
0
W
27.09.25
Bun
Ried
Grazer AK
0
0
D
14.09.25
Bun
Ried
TSV Hartberg
0
2
L
H2H at home: Ried
22.05.26
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
1
W
31.01.26
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
26.10.25
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
2
L
15.10.22
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
1
0
W
28.11.21
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
4
3
W
08.04.17
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
W
Last matches: Rapid Vienna
17.05.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
0
2
L
04.05.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Lask Linz
1
3
L
19.04.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
2
2
D
12.04.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
1
1
D
15.03.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
01.03.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
SCR Altach
1
1
D
15.02.26
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
0
2
L
31.01.26
Cup
Rapid Vienna
Ried
0
3
L
18.12.25
UEF
Rapid Vienna
Zrinjski
1
1
D
14.12.25
Bun
Rapid Vienna
FC BW Linz
1
1
D
30.11.25
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Lask Linz
0
3
L
27.11.25
UEF
Rapid Vienna
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
L
09.11.25
Bun
Rapid Vienna
WSG Wattens
1
1
D
29.10.25
Cup
Rapid Vienna
SKN ST. Polten
1
0
W
26.10.25
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Ried
2
0
W
05.10.25
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
1
2
L
02.10.25
UEF
Rapid Vienna
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
21.09.25
Bun
Rapid Vienna
Grazer AK
1
1
D
17.09.25
Cup
Rapid Vienna
Oberwart
2
1
W
31.08.25
Bun
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
1
0
W
H2H away: Rapid Vienna
22.05.26
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
1
L
31.01.26
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
L
26.10.25
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
0
2
W
15.10.22
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
1
0
L
28.11.21
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
4
3
L
08.04.17
H2H
Ried
Rapid Vienna
3
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 7 8 56:42 14 39
?
2 32 16 8 8 51:35 16 37
?
3 32 13 9 10 56:41 15 29
?
4 32 14 5 13 45:50 -5 29
?
5 32 12 8 12 36:41 -5 27
?
6 32 10 12 10 40:40 0 25
?
7
Ried Home
32 12 6 14 38:42 -4 28
?
8 32 11 8 13 41:42 -1 28
?
9 32 9 10 13 42:45 -3 27
?
10 32 10 12 10 36:39 -3 27
?
11 32 10 10 12 40:52 -12 24
?
12 32 8 5 19 37:49 -12 21
?