AUSTRIA › BUNDESLIGA
22.05.2026 17:30
Innviertel Arena
Referee: W. Altmann
Ried
Match Timeline
Rapid Vienna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Nicolas Bajlicz
Ried
⚽
14'
N. Havenaar · Assist: J. Nasrawe
Ried
🔄
48'
M. Sollbauer ↔ F. Rossdorfer
Ried
🔄
71'
A. Weimann ↔ T. Borkeeiet
Rapid Vienna
🔄
71'
J. Auer ↔ F. Demir
Rapid Vienna
🔄
71'
N. Wurmbrand ↔ M. Tilio
Rapid Vienna
🔄
72'
↔ M. Rasner
Ried
⚽
75'
R. Amane · Assist: P. Dahl
Rapid Vienna
⚽
77'
J. Boguo · Assist: N. Havenaar
Ried
🔄
83'
J. Boguo ↔ E. E. Aisowieren
Ried
🔄
85'
A. Ahoussou ↔ L. Schaub
Rapid Vienna
🟨
86'
Furkan Demir
Rapid Vienna

Ried vs Rapid Vienna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ried Win 72.2%
Draw 0%
Rapid Vienna Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried1.36
Rapid Vienna1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ried Ried
WWDLW
51 GF / 45 GA
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
WLDWL
56 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
18
BTTS Yes
25
18
Over 2.5
21
3.64
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ried Ried 38 matches
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 48 matches
Ried Statistic Rapid Vienna
17 Wins 18
6 Draws 11
15 Losses 19
51 Goals For 56
45 Goals Against 67
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
18 BTTS Yes 25
29 Over 1.5 38
18 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 12
3.64 Shots On Goal 3.61
11.94 Total Shots 11.77
4.27 Corners 5.23
49.5% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Rapid Vienna's more proactive style and Ried's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ried hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Rapid Vienna now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Rapid Vienna controlled more possession in the first leg (66% against 34%). Ried were also more accurate in attack, recording 6 shots on target to 3. Rapid Vienna circulated the ball more often, making 391 passes to 207 and completing 318. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rapid Vienna. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Ried arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 28 points compared to Rapid Vienna in 5 on 33, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Ried Analysis

Ried enter this tie with a season profile built on 28 points from 32 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats with goals at 38:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on K. Mutandwa (16 goals), M. Grosse (6 goals), A. Bajic (5 goals), with creative support from Philipp Pomer (5 assists), A. Bajic (4 assists), K. Mutandwa (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rapid Vienna Analysis

Rapid Vienna enter this tie with a season profile built on 33 points from 22 matches, placing them 5 in their league. With 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses plus a goal ratio of 26:25, they bring poor form and are going through a difficult losing run into this tie. Going forward they rely on E. Kara (6 goals), Bendegúz Bolla (4 goals), Matthias Seidl (4 goals), with creative support from Matthias Seidl (6 assists), P. Dahl (4 assists), C. M'Buyi (3 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 6 times, Rapid Vienna won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Ried's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ried 3-4-2-1 / Rapid Vienna 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Ried wins 6, draws 1, Rapid Vienna wins 8

Standings

Bundesliga: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 2 8 33:26 7 38
?
2 22 10 7 5 42:26 16 37
?
3 22 11 4 7 32:30 2 37
?
4 22 11 3 8 34:30 4 36
?
5 22 9 6 7 26:25 1 33
?
6 22 8 9 5 29:24 5 33
?
7 22 8 7 7 31:30 1 31
?
8 22 7 8 7 22:23 -1 29
?
9
Ried Home
22 8 4 10 26:30 -4 28
?
10 22 7 5 10 31:32 -1 26
?
11 22 4 8 10 22:36 -14 20
?
12 22 4 3 15 20:36 -16 15
?
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)