BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Banpará Baenão
Referee: Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil
Remo
Match Timeline
Sao Paulo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Luis Osorio
Sao Paulo
🟨
38'
Enzo Díaz
Sao Paulo
🔄
61'
Andre Silva ↔ Marcos Antonio
Sao Paulo
🔄
71'
Ze Welison ↔ L. Picco
Remo
🔄
72'
Danielzinho ↔ Hugo Leonardo
Sao Paulo
🔄
72'
Ferreira ↔ Lucca Marques
Sao Paulo
🔄
72'
Artur ↔ P. dos Santos
Sao Paulo
🔄
80'
Yago Pikachu ↔ Matheus Alexandre
Remo
🔄
80'
Ze Ricardo ↔ Gabriel Poveda
Remo
🔄
80'
Vitor Bueno ↔ David Braga
Remo
🟨
85'
David Braga
Remo
🔄
87'
Jonathan Calleri ↔ G. Tapia
Sao Paulo
🔄
90+7'
Marcelinho ↔ Diego Hernandez
Remo
90'
Marcelinho · Assist: L. Picco
Remo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Remo Win 46.6%
Draw 7.5%
Sao Paulo Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Remo1.16
Sao Paulo1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Remo Remo
WWDLW
20 GF / 29 GA
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
WLDWL
23 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
4.06
Shots on Goal
4.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Remo Remo 17 matches
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 17 matches
Remo Statistic Sao Paulo
3 Wins 7
6 Draws 4
8 Losses 6
20 Goals For 23
29 Goals Against 19
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
10 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 3
4.06 Shots On Goal 4.12
12.29 Total Shots 12
4.41 Corners 6.53
42.7% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Remo's more cautious structure. Sao Paulo seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Sao Paulo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 25 points while Remo sit 19 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sao Paulo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Remo Analysis

Remo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 15 points from 17 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 20:29, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alef Manga (4 goals), Jajá (4 goals), Gabriel Taliari (3 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Vitor Bueno (2 assists), Patrick de Paula (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Marcelo Rangel, Joao Lucas, Thalisson, Jaja unavailable.

Sao Paulo Analysis

Sao Paulo sit 8 with 25 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 23:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jonathan Calleri (6 goals), Luciano (6 goals), Ferreira (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), D. Bobadilla (2 assists), Marcos Antonio (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. Although they are without Maik, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Wendell, Luciano, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Remo won 1 times, Sao Paulo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Remo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Remo 4-2-3-1 / Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Remo 7, Sao Paulo 10
H2H summary: Remo wins 1, draws 0, Sao Paulo wins 0
Stats
Remo Remo
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
301 Total passes 470
254 Passes accurate 410
0.76 expected_goals 1.04
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Remo
Formation
Sao Paulo
Ivan
Ivan
Marcelinho
Marcelinho
Marllon
Marllon
D. Tchamba
D. Tchamba
Mayk
Mayk
Ze Welison
Ze Welison
Patrick
Patrick
Yago Pikachu
Yago Pikachu
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Alef Manga
Alef Manga
Vitor Bueno
Vitor Bueno
Rafael
Rafael
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon
A. Franco
A. Franco
Luis Osorio
Luis Osorio
E. Diaz
E. Diaz
Artur
Artur
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Pablo Maia
Pablo Maia
Ferreira
Ferreira
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri
Andre Silva
Andre Silva
Remo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
97
Ivan
G
79
Marcelinho
⚽ 90' ↓ 90+7'
D
13
Marllon
D
18
D. Tchamba
D
98
Mayk
D
28
Ze Welison
↓ 71'
M
8
Patrick
M
22
Yago Pikachu
↓ 80'
M
55
Ze Ricardo
↓ 80'
M
11
Alef Manga
M
15
Vitor Bueno
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
94
Ygor Vinhas
G
24
B. Cufre
D
7
Giovanni Pavani
M
10
Jaderson
F
5
Leo Andrade
D
2
Matheus Alexandre
↑ 80'
D
99
Gabriel Poveda
↑ 80'
F
14
L. Picco
🎯 90' ↑ 71'
M
33
Diego Hernandez
↑ 90+7'
F
26
David Braga
↑ 80' 🟨 85'
M
45
Joao Pedro
F
61
Tico
M
Sao Paulo 4-4-2
Starting XI
23
Rafael
G
19
Lucas Ramon
28
A. Franco
D
54
Luis Osorio
🟨 28'
D
13
E. Diaz
🟨 38'
D
37
Artur
↓ 72'
M
94
Danielzinho
↓ 72'
M
29
Pablo Maia
M
11
Ferreira
↓ 72'
M
9
Jonathan Calleri
↓ 87'
F
17
Andre Silva
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
31
Carlos Coronel
G
2
R. Toloi
D
8
Marcos Antonio
↑ 61'
M
30
Felipe Negrucci
M
38
Hugo Leonardo
↑ 72'
D
46
Pedro Ferreira
M
45
Lucca Marques
↑ 72'
F
34
P. dos Santos
↑ 72'
F
14
G. Tapia
↑ 87'
F
15
Joao Moreira
D
43
G. Santana
M
56
N. Bosshardt
D
Last matches: Remo
24.05.26
Ser
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Remo
Palmeiras
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Remo
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Remo
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Remo
RB Bragantino
2
4
L
11.04.26
Ser
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Remo
Gremio
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Remo
Santos
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Remo
Bahia
4
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Remo
Flamengo
0
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Remo
Coritiba
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Remo
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Remo
Internacional
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Remo
Atletico-MG
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Remo
Mirassol
2
2
D
28.01.26
Ser
Remo
Vitoria
0
2
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H: Remo vs Sao Paulo
31.05.26
H2H
Remo
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
Last matches: Remo
24.05.26
Ser
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Remo
Palmeiras
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Remo
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Remo
Bahia
4
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Remo
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Remo
Internacional
1
1
D
04.02.26
Ser
Remo
Mirassol
2
2
D
H2H at home: Remo
31.05.26
H2H
Remo
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
H2H
Remo
Sao Paulo
1
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18
Remo Home
18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?

Missing Players

Remo 7 missing
-
Marcelo Rangel
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Joao Lucas
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Thalisson
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
Patrick de Paula
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
Eduardo Melo
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Gabriel Taliari
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Jaja
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
Sao Paulo 10 missing
-
Maik
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
Robert Arboleda
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
Sabino
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. Toloi
Questionable Calf Injury
OUT
-
Wendell
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
D. Bobadilla
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
Cauly
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Marcos Antonio
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Lucas Moura
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Luciano
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT