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BRAZIL › SERIE A
07.10.2026 22:30
Mangueirao
Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
Remo
Match Timeline
Gremio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Vitor Bueno
Remo
🟨
20'
Cristian Pavón
Gremio
🟨
27'
Dodi
Gremio
🟨
35'
Gabriel Taliari
Remo
🟨
45+1'
Antonio Galeano
Remo
⚽
45+3'
Walter Kannemann · Assist: Wallace
Gremio
🔄
46'
Francis Amuzu ↔ José Enamorado
Gremio
🟨
57'
José Enamorado
Gremio
🔄
59'
Carlos Vinícius ↔ Martin Braithwaite
Gremio
🔄
59'
Cristian Pavón ↔ Tetê
Gremio
🔄
61'
Leonel Picco ↔ Eduardo Melo
Remo
🔄
69'
Yago Pikachu ↔ Jajá
Remo
🔄
71'
Dodi ↔ Juan Nardoni
Gremio
🔄
81'
Antonio Galeano ↔ David Braga
Remo
🔄
81'
Vitor Bueno ↔ Patrick
Remo
🟨
82'
João Pedro
Gremio
🔄
87'
Danilo Barbosa ↔ Zortéa
Gremio
⚽
88'
David Braga · Assist: Gabriel Taliari
Remo

Remo vs Gremio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
77.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Remo Win 57.2%
Draw 24.7%
Gremio Win 18.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Remo1.22
Gremio1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Remo Remo
L L L L L
5 GF / 10 GA
Gremio Gremio
D L L L W
6 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
17
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
16
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Remo Remo 28 matches
Gremio Gremio 31 matches
Remo Statistic Gremio
5 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 14
32 Goals For 36
47 Goals Against 42
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
17 BTTS Yes 19
23 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 10
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.68
12.46 Total Shots 11.29
4.68 Corners 4.14
42.9% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gremio. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Remo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gremio in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gremio having the stronger overall control.

Remo Analysis

With 23 points from 28 games and a place of 19, Remo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats with a 32:47 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jája Silva (7 goals), Alef Manga (5 goals), Vitor Bueno (4 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Vitor Bueno (3 assists), Yago Pikachu (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with Joao Lucas, Mayk, Ze Welison, Gabriel Poveda unavailable.

Gremio Analysis

Gremio approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 29 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 30:38 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Carlos Vinícius (9 goals), C. Pavón (2 goals), Gustavo Martins (2 goals), with creative support from C. Pavón (4 assists), F. Amuzu (3 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Gustavo Martins, Marlon, Dodi, E. Noriega, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Remo won 0 times, Gremio won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Remo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.9%)
Predicted formations: Remo 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Remo 6, Gremio 8
H2H summary: Remo wins 0, draws 1, Gremio wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 20 7 4 61:25 36 67
W W D W W
2 31 19 9 3 54:22 32 66
W W W D W
3 31 15 8 8 49:37 12 53
L W D W D
4 31 15 6 10 50:46 4 51
W L W W L
5 31 14 9 8 49:39 10 51
L L W W L
6 31 14 8 9 42:35 7 50
W W D W D
7 31 13 10 8 44:39 5 49
L W L L W
8 31 12 9 10 48:46 2 45
W L D W W
9 31 12 6 13 36:35 1 42
W W L L W
10 31 11 8 12 39:36 3 41
D W D L L
11 31 10 9 12 44:48 -4 39
W D L L W
12 31 10 9 12 38:49 -11 39
L D L L D
13 31 10 7 14 34:45 -11 37
D L W L D
14 31 9 9 13 36:44 -8 36
W L D W D
15 30 9 8 13 36:43 -7 35
L D W W W
16 31 8 9 14 32:39 -7 33
D L L L L
17 31 7 11 13 33:40 -7 32
L D W L W
18 31 7 10 14 34:44 -10 31
L D D D L
19
Remo Home
31 5 11 15 34:49 -15 26
D D D L L
20 30 3 9 18 30:62 -32 18
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B