BRAZIL › SERIE A
07.10.2026 22:30
Estadio Evandro Almeida

Remo vs Gremio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Remo Win 65.8%
Draw 12.8%
Gremio Win 21.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Remo1.22
Gremio1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Remo Remo
WWDLW
32 GF / 47 GA
Gremio Gremio
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
17
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
16
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Remo Remo 28 matches
Gremio Gremio 31 matches
Remo Statistic Gremio
5 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 14
32 Goals For 36
47 Goals Against 42
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
17 BTTS Yes 19
23 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 10
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.68
12.43 Total Shots 11.29
4.68 Corners 4.11
42.9% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gremio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Remo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Gremio in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gremio having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Remo Analysis

Remo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 23 points from 28 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats with a 32:47 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jája Silva (7 goals), Alef Manga (5 goals), Vitor Bueno (4 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Vitor Bueno (3 assists), Yago Pikachu (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gremio Analysis

Gremio sit 17 with 29 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 30:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Carlos Vinícius (9 goals), C. Pavón (2 goals), Gustavo Martins (2 goals), with creative support from C. Pavón (4 assists), F. Amuzu (3 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Remo won 0 times, Gremio won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Remo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Remo 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Remo wins 0, draws 1, Gremio wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 55:23 32 60
W W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 28 14 7 7 43:32 11 49
W D L D W
4 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
5 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
6 28 13 6 9 42:40 2 45
W L W L W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 27 10 6 11 33:31 2 36
L D L L W
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 28 9 6 13 28:42 -14 33
L D W L L
14 28 8 8 12 29:32 -3 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 28 7 8 13 30:38 -8 29
D L L L W
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19
Remo Home
28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B