BRAZIL SERIE A
25.04.2026 21:30
Estádio Banpará Baenão
Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil
Remo
Match Timeline
Cruzeiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
K. Arroyo · Assist: Bruno Rodrigues
Cruzeiro
🟨
38'
Keny Arroyo
Cruzeiro
🟨
44'
Zé Ricardo
Remo
🟨
53'
Matheus Cunha
Cruzeiro
🔄
56'
Ze Ricardo ↔ Jaderson
Remo
🔄
56'
Gabriel Poveda ↔ Alef Manga
Remo
🟨
60'
Kauã Moraes
Cruzeiro
🔄
65'
Kaio Jorge ↔ Wanderson
Cruzeiro
🔄
68'
Yago Pikachu ↔ Diego Hernandez
Remo
🔄
75'
Bruno Rodrigues ↔ Chico
Cruzeiro
🔄
76'
Christian ↔ Matheus Henrique
Cruzeiro
🔄
82'
Ze Welison ↔ L. Picco
Remo
🔄
82'
Jaja ↔ Joao Pedro
Remo
🔄
87'
K. Arroyo ↔ L. Sinisterra
Cruzeiro

Remo vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Remo Win 52.3%
Draw 13.4%
Cruzeiro Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Remo1.3
Cruzeiro1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Remo Remo
WWDLW
13 GF / 22 GA
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
6
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
9
4.08
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Remo Remo 12 matches
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 14 matches
Remo Statistic Cruzeiro
1 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
13 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 23
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
6 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 3
4.08 Shots On Goal 4.64
12.33 Total Shots 13.5
4 Corners 4.79
42.7% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cruzeiro.

Remo Analysis

Remo sit 19 with 8 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats with a 11:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gabriel Taliari (3 goals), Alef Manga (2 goals), Vitor Bueno (2 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Patrick de Paula (2 assists), Vitor Bueno (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Eduardo Melo, Joao Lucas, Thalisson unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Cruzeiro Analysis

With 13 points from 12 games and a place of 16, Cruzeiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 14:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Christian (5 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), Kaio Jorge (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Pereira (2 assists), L. Romero (2 assists), Kaiki (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Cassio, Marquinhos, Fabricio Bruno, Lucas Silva, Matheus Pereira, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Remo won 3 times, Cruzeiro won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Remo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Remo 4-2-3-1 / Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Remo 10, Cruzeiro 7
H2H summary: Remo wins 3, draws 0, Cruzeiro wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 25 15 6 4 50:21 29 51
W W L W W
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 25 10 7 8 33:33 0 37
W W D W L
8 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
9 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 25 6 7 12 27:39 -12 25
L D D L L
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19
Remo Home
25 5 8 12 30:42 -12 23
L L D D L
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B